Syria: An Economic Solution

The problem of Syria lies outside of the country and therefore, a Syrian solution cannot settle the Syrian crisis. 
Today's Syria is the field of a proxy war, as Lebanon is arena of a proxy dispute with a lower degree than its neighbor, which made it difficult to resolve the Presidential crisis of this country. If the parties engaged in the Syrian crisis are just looking for a short-term victory, so continuation of militarism or attaching the useless option of diplomatic or political solution would be their only dead-end!
But it seems for some States, it has been recognized that continuation of war in Syria could only impose damage against the political credibility of engaged countries in the Syrian civil-war, and moreover that it is a threat to national security of many countries, it is heavy economic burden for State-sponsors of Syrian militants. 
Therefore, if the engaged States in the Syrian crisis come to an agreement to end the military and political battle in the country, Syria would enter a new stage. The post-war Syria would be like Vietnam after its second war, which was against United States. The author of Diplomacy book, Henry Kissinger can share his experience in this regard with the US and European governments. Since then, Syrian government needs friends that be able to launch big economic and reconstruction projects in the country. And it can be predicted that Syria would make new friends and find new enemies. 
There is no expectation that every State has an interest in planning for long-term but probably those countries, which have designed a long-term strategy for themselves would change the path of war in Syria.

Their Tehran and Ours

Federica Mogherini could easily identify the root of Middle East problems; a traditional trend to remove Iran from the political map of the region. And it is not about the government of Iran but the strategic and geopolitical status of the country. Although she has no access to the related classified documents. 
Tehran began a new season of its foreign policy after the Iran-Iraq war. Iran condemned the Iraqi invasion to Kuwait and then, supported Kuwait in some certain areas. Also, Tehran cooperated with Washington in the case of resolving the issue of Taliban in Afghanistan. But instead, Iran was accused of running a coup d'etat in Bahrain (while based on the classified documents, there was not any coup) and also, Iran was accused of being involved in the "Mykonos restaurant assassinations" and "AMIA bombing". At the end, "Axis of Evil", which is still alive with a new and diplomatic language and it is just playing. All of the accusations have been invalid. 
The problem has not been Iran’s behavior, but Iran's existence. And classified documents prove that Riyadh and Tel Aviv are interested in the forgery. 
Iran is accused of supporting terrorist groups i.e. Hamas and Hezbollah. However, Hamas is supported by Turkey and some other Arab countries obviously and no one complained about it; neither Tel Aviv nor others. Therefore, these groups are not trouble because supporting them or cooperation with these groups is allowed by any state except Iran. It seems that a new term of dialogues cannot change anything, just like the previous experiences of EU's popular "Critical Dialogue" and "Comprehensive Dialogue". 
Iran was faced with the accusation of "export of revolution" and neither diplomatic dialogues nor Iran's détente could drop this accusation. The only things that could drop this accusation was the big explosion inside the Arab League i.e. the "Arab Spring" and the expanding role of Iran in the Middle East countries. 
According to this historical experience, the only solution for Iran is to change its policy to an actual threat against the Saudi interests. And Bahrain is the most strategic point. Because establishing democracy in Bahrain is considered as the fall of Riyadh Empire. And no one can prevent support for democracy in a country because there is a difference between it and interference in the internal affairs of a country. The Bahraini government is very vulnerable. A small country with a population of 1.332 million. The vast majority of Bahrani people are Shiite and against the Sunni and undemocratic government. And Bahrain is not a wealthy country; it is dependent on Saudi Arabia on certain areas such as energy supply. On the other hand, Riyadh has been involved in a war against Yemen and it has taken all of the Saudi concentration.
As it was mentioned before, lifting the remaining sanctions on Iran is possible. And the system is ready to undertake new obligations in order to expand democracy in all over the world. The war has no voice!

Ukraine: Post-Revolution Era

Ukraine's Orange Revolution was overthrown as a result of a democratic election and such a fate threatens Ukraine's Maidan Revolution. 
Today, the economic aspirations and social welfare are of the main concerns of Ukrainian. And getting tight ties with the U.S. and EU is no more on top priority. Additionally the influence of Crimea issue and the events in the east of Ukraine on Ukrainian public opinion are undeniable as well. It should be added that citizens in the east of Ukraine will participate in the next elections, which is affecting the country's political fate determination. 
Given the circumstances, the membership of Ukraine in the European Union would not make any change in the country's political fate in order to end the dispute of the pro-Russians and pro-Europeans in the country. The Hungarian government is a good example to prove this claim. 
And according to the reports, Russia is going to assassinate a number of Ukrainian journalists who write against Moscow. Certainly the raise of public awareness about the Russian threats by mobilizing all of communication tools widely can prevent future disasters. 
There is no doubt that it is possible to rebuild the trust of people to the Moscow and pro-Russians politicians while rebuilding the Ukrainian economy is not easy and if the government fails in realization the Ukrainian economic goals, then the public trust to the pro-Europeans politicians reduces. In such circumstances the promotion of public awareness to the expansionism and un-reliability of Moscow is what can increase the government chance to win in the future elections.

Oil Shale and International Order

The effective role of oil is undeniable on international order. Therefore, fight for petroleum resources at different levels flows.
Even occupation of the regions which are weak economically and depleted of the fossil fuels are useless for terrorist groups, thus the terrorist groups do not want to expand their activities in Yemen which is a poor as well as dangerous area. But Surely, Iraq and Nigeria are attractive for terrorist groups. 
The present situation of oil market in the world is the effect of a struggle that is ongoing at the highest level in the petroleum industry area. Of course, the world oil price reduction has reduced the revenue of ISIS terrorist group and also the revenues of Russia, Venezuela and Iran but the final goal of this oil price drop has not been hurting these economic categories. 
The secret organization of Apic tries to remove the oil shale by adapting policies such as putting pressure on Riyadh and controlling some of the factors affecting on the world oil market.
Oil shale has the potential to be active as a positive and creative actor in the arena of international order. Therefore, it is not useful to remove it. It seems that the domination of Apic over kerogen shale is the only way for it to be saved. 
In spite of this, if this idea realized a Win-Win outcome would not be achieved. So, this idea is not supported by the system unless Apic supports the plan of the "Change of European Union".

How We Can Change the Decisions of the Security Council?

Nuclear agreement with Iran and the text of this agreement have the transformative importance on political and legal structure of international community. So some points are necessary to be known before the emergence of this agreement. 
Undoubtedly, it must be admitted that the agreement draws a new season of international law and in fact certainly changes the nature of Security Council character. Because this agreement will be written firstly based on international law and also due to this agreement the Security Council will cancel all the sanctions against Iran. It should be noted that the Security Council sanctions were imposed according to international law. (It is worth mentioning that the EU and U.S. sanctions against Iran will have no place in international law studies because they are invalid in international law system.) 
This issue is certainly the basis for the questions and hypothesis which will be addressed in international law thesis and articles in the future. 
Security Council decisions have similar validity to mandatory rules of international law. Then, the question is: 
Why does Security Council repeal the imposed sanctions against Iran while Iran's nuclear program is still continuing? 
It is despite the fact that the Security Council had decided to stop the Iranian nuclear program completely. 
This agreement is indeed nothing more than an agreement to restore the situation to the former case. Iran commits again all the obligations which was already responsible during Khatami's presidency and the West returns the sanctions terms to the former situation as well.

Potential Threat

Exploitation of biological weapons and microbial experiments has yet been authorized, but hereinafter any attempt to create synthetic virus and conducting biological experiments are unauthorized. Certainly, this prohibition consists of European states and especially France as well. 
50 years ago the system and France together performed one of the world biggest biological experiments in Africa over 4 years. Cameron, Nigeria and Libya were the victims of this secret project; 40 thousands of people lost their lives as a result of it. The virus is blown in the air via explosion. The mechanism of the virus was such that the patients lost weight and appetite at first and finally dead because of high fever. 
The reasons for this prohibition are not ambiguous: 
First, France and any of the other countries are unable to guarantee the national security through this weapon. 
Secondly, the only way to ensure the reliability of the Europeans or even the system's members is that none of them have the potential threat, since possible changes in the system positions or European positions cause to unleash this potential against the security of the system.

Ukraine: No Way but New

An ambassador is determined for Ukraine affairs to fill the Washington and Brussels' foreign policy gaps and corruption in this respect; the class agent Philip is ambassador regarding Ukraine. Indeed Kiev has the right to be aware of classified information about the White House and the West related to Ukraine Crisis. Despite the fact, access to classified document for Kiev is not available at this point of time. 
But first of all, Ukrainian government must necessarily know that resolving the crisis in East Ukraine might cause the sanctions against Moscow to be gradually eliminated. In such circumstance, Ukrainian sovereignty over Crimea, the Black Sea and the existing resources are likely are unattainable. Considering this fact, is the Ukrainian government willing to completely resolve the disputes at this point of time or does it prefer the sanctions affect Moscow and then return to the peace process with greater bargaining strength?
It should be answered with this concept in mind that killing thousands people of Ukraine containing the western and eastern Ukrainian never change anything in Kremlin because it does not hurt Moscow. 
Ukraine Crisis has brought in damages for both Ukraine and Russia. Currently the Kiev is facing with challenges such as coal shortage. A required parameter for the future planning is to identify the capacity of the country in encountering with present challenges.
At the end it is advisable, No one is sending something entitling "NATO membership invitation" to Ukraine. No one will solve the Ukraine Crisis. A good example to prove this claim is Syrian Civil War. The Ukrainians’ ideals could be realized only by Kiev's political decisions.

Petroleum Power and Foreign Policy

The democracy of 1998 has led one of the alliances of United States to become Washington's enemy.Venezuela, the friend of United States in the Cold War, had been gradually separated from Washington after the democratic elections in 1998 and joined Cuba. Thus, the most significant power of petroleum in Latin America has joined the Russian campaign, which could play a core and constructive role in creating balance of power. 
Washington must ask itself why the Venezuela democratic elections has led the Caracas to become the enemy of the U.S., while the recent presidential election in Iran moves Tehran to get closer ties with the U.S. and EU.
Venezuela and Iran's foreign policy doctrines have not changed as a result of a coup, but was changed by democratic elections. So it must be admitted that the extremist policies of the conservatives caused the United State to lose one of its most important friends in Latin America, while the realistic policies of the White House in recent years has caused the Iranian to vote and elect Hassan Rouhani, the moderate politician, as a result of a democratic election. 
Rouhani was the most unknown politician among the Iran's recent presidential election candidates. From the view point of Iranian prominent analysts, he had no real chance of winning the election. Therefore, by choosing him the Iranian not actually vote and elect a person, but a new pattern in Iranian politics.