About Novorossiya

Oleg Tsaryov, the self-proclaimed speaker of "Novorossiya's" Parliament has been recently announced in an interview with Le Figaro newspaper that the separatists give up their demand based on the achievement of political independency. And they called for federal government in Ukraine with the full autonomy for the regions of Donetsk and Lugansk, instead. 
Therefore, some points about the political and legal status of Ukraine should be said necessarily.
Representatives of the separatists legally accepted in the Minsk Protocol that they do not have the required legal capacity for political independency to be claimed. Therefore, following the agreement the Russia's position changed about east of Ukraine. 
What was the last comment of Putin before this agreement? 
He supported of creating an independence country and the idea of eastern Ukraine political independency. 
But the achievement way of political independency was blocked after the Minsk Protocol. And since the Moscow was aware of the fact, then has changed its political tactic. The idea of federalism in Ukraine is supported by Kremlin for months, instead of the eastern Ukrainian independency. 
 What is the goal of Kremlin of creating federal government in Ukraine and full autonomy of the areas controlled by separatists?
The autonomy similar to that of Scotland and California (despite the fact that mentioned states have not full autonomy) enables the separatists that achieve full political independency through a legal referendum. 
Needless to say, the right to self-determination is of the basic elements of full autonomy.

Minsk Protocol: Russian "Reversal of Matter"

It is necessary to verify the West strategy on Ukraine crisis because the political and legal status of Donetsk and Lugansk regions has been changed since signing the Minsk Protocol. So: 
First, Russia is trying to legitimate the total control of separatists over the East Ukraine through "reversal of matter" (as a tactic). 
What is (still) the main matter of Ukraine crisis?
Land and territory, not only a ceasefire or peace.
What is the main problem of Ukraine crisis according to standpoint of Moscow?
Unconditional ceasefire. (It should be noted that such a ceasefire will give Moscow this opportunity to create its third victory in East Ukraine after South Ossetia and Crimea; of course a total war is a best situation to promote the idea of ceasefire in order to divert public opinion and media from the main subject to the ceasefire.)
Therefore, Ukraine needs to know Russia and the separatists want Minsk Protocol to be abolished by Kiev more than anything else. Because the agreement imposed a legal regime based on the law of treaties on the Donetsk and Lugansk areas. Under the agreement, Donetsk and Lugansk are identified as local (self) governments. This legal description determines the areas (legal) capacity and definitely the capacity do not allow Donetsk and Lugansk regions to have independence. So, the total control of separatists over the areas is invalid. Indeed, DPR and LPR representatives as well as Russian Federation representative have recognized the mentioned capacity (not more than that) to Donetsk and Lugansk and the signatory parties are bound to the agreement. 
So it is better to consider use of military force by Kiev against the militants as an effort of the country to force the separatists to implement the agreement or even known as Ukrainian armed defense from the Minsk Protocol. Thus, on the one hand armed action of government (based on a limited war) should not be considered an abolition and repeal of the protocol, but on the other hand the Kiev should not enter to a total war.  
Second, China is not in favor of Putin's regime debacle and fall, therefore China certainly will push to Moscow to end this crisis if it ensures that Ukraine crisis could cause the Putin's regime to be fallen.

Ukraine: Scrounge Violence

Result of the recent referendum in East Ukraine led to Kiev’s concern; and this issue under lay Ukrainian government hasty use of security forces and violence. But this concern is partly due to lack of follow up and look into the all details of East Ukraine’s issue. East Ukraine needs a supporter to implement its vote, but the result of recent referendum has not been verified even by Russia. Needless to say that approving and accepting the result of referendum has legal and political effects, which Moscow has so far avoided doing it. Respect referendum result and self-determination right, what Moscow attempted to do it, has only moral effect (ethical propriety) in the international system, and nothing more than that. But what could be considered disturbing to the Ukraine is starting a civil war. It is easily possible for groups in Ukraine to become armed and put a loyalty mask to Moscow or Kiev on their face; then, performing separate terrorist operations, each of them enter the country into the civil war, like the model occurred in Central African and Rwanda. Surely, the model of terrorism that now Ukraine is talented in it and has its presence potential, is similar to the model has happened in Central Africa, and not like what happened in Iraq and Afghanistan. Difference between an extremist group and a moderate one becomes apparent when the situations get out of the control. Ukraine’s getting out of normal situation allow extremists to use all of the violence potential. Therefore, rapid normalizing of the situations will eradicate the possibility of releasing extremist potential. Thus, to prevent occurring terrorism that enters Ukraine into a civil war, it is necessary that firstly, the fear and violence, which provide required motivation and potential for appearing terrorism and extremism, be stopped (cease-fire); Secondly, Donetsk and Lugansk be placed under economic enclave, like what previously happened during World War II for Leningrad;Thirdly, Ukrainian military forces take serious care of the border between Russia and Ukraine in order to prevent breaking economic siege. Undoubtedly, Russia and East Ukraine can’t win a non-violent war, in the current situations. That is, the situation that Russian leadership, with thirty years auction of Gazprom to China, has lost much of his reputation among power and wealth elites in Russia; and it is their biggest obstacle for a new adventure or gambling.