Ukraine and Russia will soon enter negotiations about the sale of Russian gas but the difference in energy negotiations with the last time is that Kiev is able to undertake the Civil War and at the same time Moscow was not able to be acquitted from the charge of supporting the militants of East Ukraine and this means that the crisis of East Ukraine has become a winner card for Kiev, whereas in the last period, this crisis was considered as a victory for Moscow. But Kiev can be benefited by this card when Washington and its allies try to suppress Moscow in negotiations through considering failure factors of Moscow from vindicating the support of pro-Russians in East of Ukraine and victories of the president of Ukraine. It should be noted that Gazprom is the last trump card of Kremlin to change the game in favor of the Moscow, therefor; if West fails to apply pressure on Moscow, Russia will then be able to use Gazprom as a trump card.
Ultimately, of course, putting the card of East Ukraine crisis on energy negotiations would be able to persuade Kremlin to make realistic decisions based on realism.
Showing posts with label Energy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Energy. Show all posts
Thursday, July 10, 2014
Saturday, July 5, 2014
Syria and the Rise of a New Order in the Middle East
The Best Middle east order pattern could be implemented and began by with the fall of Assad's regime. Although this did not happen, but this does not mean that other routes to enter a new Middle East and to modify the order dominating would be inaccessible and impossible.
Now with regard to Assad's desire to perpetuate his kingship in Syria on the one hand and the confrontation of Syria with issues such as severe international sanctions, economic damage, strained relations with the region and the recognition of the Syrian opposition on the other hand, provides the creation of a new opportunity to change the order in Syria for the international community.
There is no doubt that Bashar al-Assad is forced to get rid of at least the pressure of sanctions, political isolation and the opposition which he has recognized to return its previous position.Thus it can be said that today's Syria is in the same status that Vietnam was in after the war ended and this means a great opportunity for Washington to be able to lead Damascus the way it likes through playing the pressure cards.
Thus, we can predict that as of today there is nothing but the name of socialism in Vietnam, in the future Syria there would only be a name of Bashar al-Assad and his regime, whereas the general policy has changed.
Islamic Republic of Iran and Hezbollah are considered as the effective players in the order of Middle East which have a direct impact on the fate of the Israel and Palestinian are the allies of Syria belonging to Bashar al-Assad. Therefore, Assad's changing political practices in the international arena and towards issues like Israel and Palestine could definitely be replaced with radical thought as a model for its friends in Tehran and Hezbollah. But it should not be forgotten that Syria in contrast, will have the chance to receive support from the governments and various groups by selling its energy for a cheap price!!!
Now with regard to Assad's desire to perpetuate his kingship in Syria on the one hand and the confrontation of Syria with issues such as severe international sanctions, economic damage, strained relations with the region and the recognition of the Syrian opposition on the other hand, provides the creation of a new opportunity to change the order in Syria for the international community.
There is no doubt that Bashar al-Assad is forced to get rid of at least the pressure of sanctions, political isolation and the opposition which he has recognized to return its previous position.Thus it can be said that today's Syria is in the same status that Vietnam was in after the war ended and this means a great opportunity for Washington to be able to lead Damascus the way it likes through playing the pressure cards.
Thus, we can predict that as of today there is nothing but the name of socialism in Vietnam, in the future Syria there would only be a name of Bashar al-Assad and his regime, whereas the general policy has changed.
Islamic Republic of Iran and Hezbollah are considered as the effective players in the order of Middle East which have a direct impact on the fate of the Israel and Palestinian are the allies of Syria belonging to Bashar al-Assad. Therefore, Assad's changing political practices in the international arena and towards issues like Israel and Palestine could definitely be replaced with radical thought as a model for its friends in Tehran and Hezbollah. But it should not be forgotten that Syria in contrast, will have the chance to receive support from the governments and various groups by selling its energy for a cheap price!!!
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