Iran, Mafia & Sanctions

And when these things begin to come to pass, then look up, and lift up your heads; for your redemption draweth nigh. (Luke 21:28)
The revival of severe sanctions on Tehran will certainly take down the Iranian government in mid or long term. But mob organizations like Iran’s Revolutionary Guard that make lots of money through drug and human trafficking might be survived or even be strengthened in the absence of a powerful government in the country. Also, cryptocurrency plays a significant role in this cycle.
In brief, the sanction will eventually change the balance of power within Iranian regime in favor of Iranian Revolutionary Guard. And it is the end of the game; final confrontation. The ultimate product of the process would be a weak, isolated and aggressive Tehran, like Havana and Caracas with a manageable chance of war.

Proxy Legacies

The terms of 'legacy' and 'history' are just the traps. These are variables that make one vulnerable against controller elements, like propaganda, vogue, ideologies, etc. 
The system is entering a new stage of its existence. The system should be and could be above the history and behind all human's significant legacies. And it is self-evident, as the power is increased, the security requirements are doubled. 
There is no doubt that the system that the personal security of agents will be highly valuable for the security of whole the system. An advanced partitioning or continuous change of partitioning might be effective and practical in this regard. However, 'proxy organizations' would be a natural answer to this level of security necessity. Proxy groups or organizations can carry out the system's missions and operations while they have no access to any valuable resources of the system. So losing them is not more than losing a bunch of money. But due to the different level of internal security and monitoring over agents, crossover must not take place, i.e. a proxy agent cannot become a system's agent and reverse, which shall also be applicable on former agents.

The Greenhouse Misery & the White House

The consequences of the climate change crisis for the democratic countries such as the United States are much more than others. Keep in mind, oppressive or corrupt regimes are not accountable to their nations. Therefore, when their people are surrounded by disasters, they would not enjoy the government support. But what about the United States?! 
It is self-evident that Washington cannot compare itself with Beijing in respect to climate change programs. In addition, according to the World Bank, forced immigration of millions of people would be a notable consequence of the climate change crisis. Nevertheless, this fact has been neglected that the mentioned issue is roughly a product of weak and failed states. It is clear that the West would be a potential victim of a new wave of the refugee crisis. Thus, the U.S. government must gain the leading role in the global arena over climate change to take appreciate measures to mitigate the greenhouse gas emissions. And of course, it is a necessity for national security.

2018 Election: "Hold the Door"

'Trust', is the most determining parameter that its absence forms the essence of politics. 
The behaviors of the White House and a group of Republicans represent the fact that checks and balances is the most convenient means to maintain pressure against Moscow. In addition, the Republican Party should begin the year 2019 without John McCain, Paul Ryan, and Nikki Haley, which means a new beginning for the Party. According to reports, new agenda or procedure of Republicans will be in favor of Kremlin rather than the requirements of national security. 
Thus, it is evident that the system should endeavor to revive checks and balances in order to eliminate the chance of harmful unilateralism. There is no doubt that multilateralism and cooperation with the system is always the best way to tackle the threats and achieve or secure legitimate interests.

Moscow: The Division Strategy

Russia is a real threat to the West including the US, European states and definitely Israel. Thus, Middle East issues or the current differences among the Western bloc should not distract them from the danger of Moscow. 
A divided Middle East or Europe is the objective of Kremlin. Russia's strategy could disturb the comfort zone of the West through the years. And meanwhile, it could play a critical role in almost every important negotiation table by taking a peaceful gesture including from Iran's nuclear issue to the Syrian and Ukraine crisis. Therefore, Russia has won a lot of points in this game; it has made the West believe that they really are dependent on Russia in the global leadership, which has improved Russia's political prestige. And let alone that Moscow geopolitically benefits from this procedure. 
It is more convenient to directly or secretly talk or negotiate with troubled parties rather than involving Russia to the negotiation table, just like the case of North Korea. This approach can gradually decrease the role of Moscow in the global management and the Western states can easily amplify the pressure against the Kremlin to stop the game.

Rule of Law: An Interpretive Statement

Extraordinary situations need extraordinary behaviors. 
The rule of law is one the main achievement of any civilization. Therefore, any behavior that endanger legacy of the global civilization is unacceptable. 
The system has never broken the law. But in case of conflict between main priorities of the civilization such as principles, basic values and global security requirements, and secondary priority like local regulations, the system should make a hard decision in accordance with the principal of the “rule according to a higher law”. It is evident that choosing basic priorities over secondary ones is necessary, which was also implicitly permitted by the United States Declaration of Independence through the contents of the right of revolution. 
The system honors its friendships and partnerships. But as every must know, 'attack' is the desired respond to a threat. And betrayal as the "preventive defense" and/or the premature "countermeasures" against an imminent treason is defensible, at least before a group of contemporary jurists.

Iran: A Greenhouse Revolution

The Saudi government intends to launch a military assault on Iran. But since the idea of such an attack is not in compliance with international law and may destabilize the regional order, the system disagrees with it. Nevertheless, Riyadh and the other states may provide the situation for implementing the R2P. It is evident, both domestic and international considerations should be met for application of R2P. For instance, the EU's green light and support would be among notable international factors in this regard. 
A critical economic situation for many of the Middle East nations is not a sufficient motive force for starting a revolution. Gaza and the city of Sanaa in Yemen must be convincing examples in this respect; even the collapse of living standard in these areas could not make the people rebel against their corrupt political leaders. 
The harsh economic conditions might be the seeds of a revolution but there is faint chance to achieve such a natural revolution in Iran. But the current economic circumstances in the country facilitate the possibility of making an armed opposition group. And this crafted rebel group would play two functions: overthrowing the regime and activating the option of R2P for the other states against Tehran.