A domestic issue with international side effects is a global issue.
The current situation governing Israel-Palestine cannot be found merely domestic issues of these parties. The dispute of Israeli and Palestinian states itself has been the origin of a few wars and emergence of militia and terrorist groups in the region, which are threats against all.
The continues violation of human rights and humanitarian law by third parties like Hamas and Hezbollah under the shade of the dispute is now identified a constant parameter in this regard. Therefore, the world community and the major Arab states have this right to take advantage of all means to settle peace by invoking the principle of Responsibility to Protect. It is evident, the principle would legitimate any essential decision on behalf of Palestinian nation by the world community if the Palestinian state fails to accomplish its part.
At the end, the model of multilateral negotiation among Israel, West Bank and the GCC is recommended.
Showing posts with label Hamas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hamas. Show all posts
Wednesday, June 27, 2018
Saturday, March 12, 2016
Palestine: Political Stock Market
Hamas leaders can easily travel to different countries, while people in Gaza are unable to meet their basic needs under the Israeli-Egyptian severe siege. Certainly Palestinians need to the international support. But how Palestinian leaders have used the supports?
Palestine is a country as much as Israel is. Almost none of the countries in the Middle East recognize Israel as a country. In contrast to, Western states do not recognize Palestine as a country. It can be argued that in this case, Palestinian political situation has been better than Israel, because Palestinian neighbors recognized it as a country. But as long as the Palestinian leaders prefer to fight against themselves rather than conciliation, neither negotiation with Tel Aviv, nor wars result in ending Israeli occupation.
The system is ready to stop its support from Palestine in return for termination of Israeli leadership over human trafficking and women trafficking networks in the Middle East including Persian Gulf States and Iran. This offer expires up to four days after notification. The system full access to classified information and documents of Israel will be the guarantee of the implementation of any possible agreement with good faith. And it should be added that Israel will not be able to transfer these networks to shadow or remain the shadow ones after acceptance. There will be no negotiation on the restoration of relations between Israel and the system.
And in respect with Syria, as it could be predicted the weakness of Moscow and Riyadh is arrogance. Russia has presented the controversial proposal for federalization of Syria to keep Bashar al-Assad in power which under current circumstances lead to division of the country and independence of Kurds, bringing opposition of Tehran, Ankara and Iraqi officials. In contrast to, Saudi Arabia has simply rejected the Russian offer because the removal of Assad is more important than gaining geopolitical interests for Riyadh. By the way, the system supports the idea of Assad removal. Syria needs a unifier leader, not a divider such the Syrian president. And the world needs Syria as a country, not as several micro countries.
Palestine is a country as much as Israel is. Almost none of the countries in the Middle East recognize Israel as a country. In contrast to, Western states do not recognize Palestine as a country. It can be argued that in this case, Palestinian political situation has been better than Israel, because Palestinian neighbors recognized it as a country. But as long as the Palestinian leaders prefer to fight against themselves rather than conciliation, neither negotiation with Tel Aviv, nor wars result in ending Israeli occupation.
The system is ready to stop its support from Palestine in return for termination of Israeli leadership over human trafficking and women trafficking networks in the Middle East including Persian Gulf States and Iran. This offer expires up to four days after notification. The system full access to classified information and documents of Israel will be the guarantee of the implementation of any possible agreement with good faith. And it should be added that Israel will not be able to transfer these networks to shadow or remain the shadow ones after acceptance. There will be no negotiation on the restoration of relations between Israel and the system.
And in respect with Syria, as it could be predicted the weakness of Moscow and Riyadh is arrogance. Russia has presented the controversial proposal for federalization of Syria to keep Bashar al-Assad in power which under current circumstances lead to division of the country and independence of Kurds, bringing opposition of Tehran, Ankara and Iraqi officials. In contrast to, Saudi Arabia has simply rejected the Russian offer because the removal of Assad is more important than gaining geopolitical interests for Riyadh. By the way, the system supports the idea of Assad removal. Syria needs a unifier leader, not a divider such the Syrian president. And the world needs Syria as a country, not as several micro countries.
Monday, June 29, 2015
Palestine and Gaza
Palestine has put a new plan on the agenda, according to the recent reports. Based on the plan, Hamas will be the covert wings of the Palestinian state for foreign policy by proxy. In addition, Mahmoud Abbas is going to secretly send the details of the plan to Iranian authorities, so that he can benefit their support.
The combination of carrots and sticks simultaneously was first presented by Kissinger. It is clear from the military and political point of view that a political winner of a likely war between Israel and Palestine will be the Palestinians. Because Hamas and in particular Gaza has nothing to lose but fighting. In spite of the fact, "war" is the last necessary option.
However, the system will support the plan and the security of the project if Palestine supports the "balance of power" instead. The "balance of power" is certainly the guarantor of peace in the Middle East. Iran's expanding role in the Middle East can make a positive balance in the region. And thus, the occurrence of unnecessary wars will be stopped.
Additionally, due to reports of Qatar, Doha seeks to hold unilaterally conferences in collaboration with the United Nations in order to solve the Middle East issue. Doha has no good faith and therefore, it is not allowed to hold such conferences. The only chance for Doha is to play a role in an inverse game.
The combination of carrots and sticks simultaneously was first presented by Kissinger. It is clear from the military and political point of view that a political winner of a likely war between Israel and Palestine will be the Palestinians. Because Hamas and in particular Gaza has nothing to lose but fighting. In spite of the fact, "war" is the last necessary option.
However, the system will support the plan and the security of the project if Palestine supports the "balance of power" instead. The "balance of power" is certainly the guarantor of peace in the Middle East. Iran's expanding role in the Middle East can make a positive balance in the region. And thus, the occurrence of unnecessary wars will be stopped.
Additionally, due to reports of Qatar, Doha seeks to hold unilaterally conferences in collaboration with the United Nations in order to solve the Middle East issue. Doha has no good faith and therefore, it is not allowed to hold such conferences. The only chance for Doha is to play a role in an inverse game.
Sunday, October 5, 2014
Palestine: The Issue of Political Stability
The recent proposal of recognizing Palestine as a state raised by Sweden can be regarded as a wise initiative to put pressure on Israel within the Israeli-Palestinian peace process through providing an alternative option for considering peace talks. This option can be selected in the case that negotiations fail.
The most important issue currently facing the Palestinian Authorities is the issue of political stability. At this time, Hamas' relationship with the Palestinian National Authorities and Mahmoud Abbas is similar to United States-Russia relationship.
Despite the fact that, Palestinian unity government of Fatah and Hamas raised high hopes about the future of Palestine, we must claim that what is running inside the body of Palestinian politics and behind the fence of news is the nature of "dissension" among Palestinian leaders. Such a dissension would certainly ruin the current promising potentials. Considering this fact, it must be claimed if the efforts on the issue of Palestinian and its future limited to the international stage, "hope" is the optimistic element about the future of Palestine.
The membership of one of the Palestinian groups in the community and particularly in the class can be considered as an easy and traditional prescription of treating "the issue of political stability" among the Palestinian population.
Accepting one of the Palestinian factions makes it possible to provide political advises for Palestinian party or use international leverages if needed, through getting informed of local events of Palestine.
The most important issue currently facing the Palestinian Authorities is the issue of political stability. At this time, Hamas' relationship with the Palestinian National Authorities and Mahmoud Abbas is similar to United States-Russia relationship.
Despite the fact that, Palestinian unity government of Fatah and Hamas raised high hopes about the future of Palestine, we must claim that what is running inside the body of Palestinian politics and behind the fence of news is the nature of "dissension" among Palestinian leaders. Such a dissension would certainly ruin the current promising potentials. Considering this fact, it must be claimed if the efforts on the issue of Palestinian and its future limited to the international stage, "hope" is the optimistic element about the future of Palestine.
The membership of one of the Palestinian groups in the community and particularly in the class can be considered as an easy and traditional prescription of treating "the issue of political stability" among the Palestinian population.
Accepting one of the Palestinian factions makes it possible to provide political advises for Palestinian party or use international leverages if needed, through getting informed of local events of Palestine.
Saturday, August 9, 2014
The Missing Piece: ‘The Winner is Loser’
As was mentioned earlier, the aim of the Israel-Gaza war was to vivify the risk element in Hamas and as the result of releasing the potential extremism of the movement. A goal which could prevent Israeli-Palestinian peace talks, in case of realization.
Therefore it can be guessed that the ending point of the battle must take place as soon as the revival of Hamas' extremism. Because ending the war at this point of time has meant as the encouragement of Hamas to continue extremism. But as it was seen, war crossed the red line of time and eventually Hamas became so weak that it can be predicted that it will continue to cooperate with the Palestinian National Authority. This collaboration is probably an essential requirement for the survival of Hamas. Therefore, the public opinion is not in favor of Israel and this will increase the bargaining power of the Palestinian National Authority in peace talks.
The most important missing piece of the game is "the winner is loser". Therefore, Netanyahu's inability to control the game, whether as the result of the wrong advice to him or the result of Netanyahu's fears from the loss of his political credibility, would not cause any changes in the outcome of the war anymore.
But the purpose of publishing this paper is firstly to reveal the outcome of this war and secondly to implicitly compare the "Snowden" game with the "Israel-Gaza war”. In “Snowden”, CIA agrees on taking the role of accuser and here the credibility of the system is reduced as a result of the implementation of the game, but Netanyahu...
Therefore it can be guessed that the ending point of the battle must take place as soon as the revival of Hamas' extremism. Because ending the war at this point of time has meant as the encouragement of Hamas to continue extremism. But as it was seen, war crossed the red line of time and eventually Hamas became so weak that it can be predicted that it will continue to cooperate with the Palestinian National Authority. This collaboration is probably an essential requirement for the survival of Hamas. Therefore, the public opinion is not in favor of Israel and this will increase the bargaining power of the Palestinian National Authority in peace talks.
The most important missing piece of the game is "the winner is loser". Therefore, Netanyahu's inability to control the game, whether as the result of the wrong advice to him or the result of Netanyahu's fears from the loss of his political credibility, would not cause any changes in the outcome of the war anymore.
But the purpose of publishing this paper is firstly to reveal the outcome of this war and secondly to implicitly compare the "Snowden" game with the "Israel-Gaza war”. In “Snowden”, CIA agrees on taking the role of accuser and here the credibility of the system is reduced as a result of the implementation of the game, but Netanyahu...
Wednesday, July 23, 2014
Israel: Report of a plan on Security Council
Israel has created a new plan on the Security Council and they are going to use it. Due to this plan Israel is going to carry out serious efforts to do informal negotiations with those of non-permanent members of the Security Council whose period of membership in the Council is left less than a year (i.e., Guatemala, Morocco, Togo, etc.). The purpose that these negotiations will follow is obtaining the votes from the countries listed in the Security Council and therefore, is achieving numerical superiority in the Security Council. Thus there is no doubt that the chance of any resolution against Israel as leverage to end this war is reduced.
No need to say that merely a resolution even though by "veto" will be inefficient, will have power to force Israel too because by issuing the draft resolution, the political credibility of Tel Aviv is reduced and it's not something anyone would veto it and it is certainly an issue that is currently causing the concern of Israel. (Functioning of this political option is like the recently imposed sanctions by the US against Russia, so that the political credibility of Moscow is damaged more than the economic efficiency. Because the economic efficiency can be fixed by adopting some measures but political credibility could never!)
Finally, if Israel is seeking peace it surely does not need to make use of such plans that focusing on such a scheme certainly does not mean to need peace.
No need to say that merely a resolution even though by "veto" will be inefficient, will have power to force Israel too because by issuing the draft resolution, the political credibility of Tel Aviv is reduced and it's not something anyone would veto it and it is certainly an issue that is currently causing the concern of Israel. (Functioning of this political option is like the recently imposed sanctions by the US against Russia, so that the political credibility of Moscow is damaged more than the economic efficiency. Because the economic efficiency can be fixed by adopting some measures but political credibility could never!)
Finally, if Israel is seeking peace it surely does not need to make use of such plans that focusing on such a scheme certainly does not mean to need peace.
Thursday, July 17, 2014
Israel: The Covert War Behind the Overt War
For outside observers, the origin of the Israel-Gaza war, was the murder of three teenagers, but for those who were aware of the plan "using the war as a fraud", the mentioned scenario is not recognized as the origin of this war. There is no need to mention that this plan which was designed out of Netanyahu's cabinet, was disclosed few months ago.
Provoking Hamas by launching a wae and finally re-releasing the potential radicalization of the movement by this provocation was the aim that this war achieved it. Certainly those who did not have any interest in peace, and yet they failed to create any obstacle to peace were resorted to fraud, it was such that war was used as a fraud.
There is no doubt that the most important obstacle to peace between Israel and Palestine, is the result of the alliance between Hamas and Fatah in a way that the structure of this unison is in favor of Mahmoud Abbas' moderate positions (and not the extreme and traditional positions of Hamas). Therefore, Israel and Palestinian were closer to peace than ever.
It is obvious that the purpose of this war was neither struggling with Hamas nor defending the rights of Israeli citizens, but its purpose was to prevent the change of orders which was likely to be deployed in peace; changes of order that will surely make change of power in Israel's decision making system inevitable.
Provoking Hamas by launching a wae and finally re-releasing the potential radicalization of the movement by this provocation was the aim that this war achieved it. Certainly those who did not have any interest in peace, and yet they failed to create any obstacle to peace were resorted to fraud, it was such that war was used as a fraud.
There is no doubt that the most important obstacle to peace between Israel and Palestine, is the result of the alliance between Hamas and Fatah in a way that the structure of this unison is in favor of Mahmoud Abbas' moderate positions (and not the extreme and traditional positions of Hamas). Therefore, Israel and Palestinian were closer to peace than ever.
It is obvious that the purpose of this war was neither struggling with Hamas nor defending the rights of Israeli citizens, but its purpose was to prevent the change of orders which was likely to be deployed in peace; changes of order that will surely make change of power in Israel's decision making system inevitable.
Wednesday, April 2, 2014
Israel's decision for Tel Aviv!
Many of human right activists, people and even some politicians in the world take Tel Aviv responsible for the failure of peace negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians. While the peace between Israel and the Palestinians need unity of all Palestinian groups. In current situation, the most important issue for Palestine is presence of extremist organization and groups such as Hamas and the Lebanese Hezbollah which believe in armed conflict. Surely, if the peace talks be successful, the extremist groups will change the resulting peace into insecurity and war in both Israeli and Palestine. Even it's possible that the extremist groups which are now like a shadow cabinet and also own weapons attempt coup and control the government after recognition of Palestine as an independent country and success of peace negotiation.
Israel doesn't want theater acting of peace but real peace is the aim of Israel. But as long as Palestinian National Authority can't cancel the threat of extremism, it will be impossible to achieve the peace.
Also the international community just like Tel Aviv failed to trust to Palestinian. Legal status of the state of Palestine isn't more complex that Taiwan's for sure. But countries by establishing consular and commercial relation with Taiwan convert the state to one of the most influential economic power in the world.
It's should be noted that from the perspective of international law independence of Taiwan from China is illegal because unlike countries such as USA, India, Switzerland and etc. China isn't federal and any province in China can't have privilege of the autonomy (unlike the situation of states in federal) and thus can't be independent.
But most countries are reluctant to take the same policy in Palestine as they applied for Taiwan. So Israel view to Palestine issue isn't limited only to Tel Aviv but also has global scope.
Undoubtedly peace is the wish of all Israel people. Peace can have real positive results even for those citizens who are only thinking of their own interests including eliminating the military services obligation in Israel. Length of this obligation period is 3 years of men and 2 years for women which can probably change by peace establishment to a selective one rather than being an obligation or reduce military budget and heath or education budget increase instead.
The new generations of Israel politician which is born in last few year want establishing a new order in Middle East.
Clearly they want to leave the old existing tradition and orders.
Tel Aviv wants all European, American and Middle East countries try to bring out Hamas and Hezbollah from current armed and dangerous situation as an essential prerequisite for peace and identify the problem of instability in Palestine as an obstacle for peace establishment.
Israel doesn't want theater acting of peace but real peace is the aim of Israel. But as long as Palestinian National Authority can't cancel the threat of extremism, it will be impossible to achieve the peace.
Also the international community just like Tel Aviv failed to trust to Palestinian. Legal status of the state of Palestine isn't more complex that Taiwan's for sure. But countries by establishing consular and commercial relation with Taiwan convert the state to one of the most influential economic power in the world.
It's should be noted that from the perspective of international law independence of Taiwan from China is illegal because unlike countries such as USA, India, Switzerland and etc. China isn't federal and any province in China can't have privilege of the autonomy (unlike the situation of states in federal) and thus can't be independent.
But most countries are reluctant to take the same policy in Palestine as they applied for Taiwan. So Israel view to Palestine issue isn't limited only to Tel Aviv but also has global scope.
Undoubtedly peace is the wish of all Israel people. Peace can have real positive results even for those citizens who are only thinking of their own interests including eliminating the military services obligation in Israel. Length of this obligation period is 3 years of men and 2 years for women which can probably change by peace establishment to a selective one rather than being an obligation or reduce military budget and heath or education budget increase instead.
The new generations of Israel politician which is born in last few year want establishing a new order in Middle East.
Clearly they want to leave the old existing tradition and orders.
Tel Aviv wants all European, American and Middle East countries try to bring out Hamas and Hezbollah from current armed and dangerous situation as an essential prerequisite for peace and identify the problem of instability in Palestine as an obstacle for peace establishment.
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