Tuesday, September 1, 2015

Their Tehran and Ours

Federica Mogherini could easily identify the root of Middle East problems; a traditional trend to remove Iran from the political map of the region. And it is not about the government of Iran but the strategic and geopolitical status of the country. Although she has no access to the related classified documents. 
Tehran began a new season of its foreign policy after the Iran-Iraq war. Iran condemned the Iraqi invasion to Kuwait and then, supported Kuwait in some certain areas. Also, Tehran cooperated with Washington in the case of resolving the issue of Taliban in Afghanistan. But instead, Iran was accused of running a coup d'etat in Bahrain (while based on the classified documents, there was not any coup) and also, Iran was accused of being involved in the "Mykonos restaurant assassinations" and "AMIA bombing". At the end, "Axis of Evil", which is still alive with a new and diplomatic language and it is just playing. All of the accusations have been invalid. 
The problem has not been Iran’s behavior, but Iran's existence. And classified documents prove that Riyadh and Tel Aviv are interested in the forgery. 
Iran is accused of supporting terrorist groups i.e. Hamas and Hezbollah. However, Hamas is supported by Turkey and some other Arab countries obviously and no one complained about it; neither Tel Aviv nor others. Therefore, these groups are not trouble because supporting them or cooperation with these groups is allowed by any state except Iran. It seems that a new term of dialogues cannot change anything, just like the previous experiences of EU's popular "Critical Dialogue" and "Comprehensive Dialogue". 
Iran was faced with the accusation of "export of revolution" and neither diplomatic dialogues nor Iran's détente could drop this accusation. The only things that could drop this accusation was the big explosion inside the Arab League i.e. the "Arab Spring" and the expanding role of Iran in the Middle East countries. 
According to this historical experience, the only solution for Iran is to change its policy to an actual threat against the Saudi interests. And Bahrain is the most strategic point. Because establishing democracy in Bahrain is considered as the fall of Riyadh Empire. And no one can prevent support for democracy in a country because there is a difference between it and interference in the internal affairs of a country. The Bahraini government is very vulnerable. A small country with a population of 1.332 million. The vast majority of Bahrani people are Shiite and against the Sunni and undemocratic government. And Bahrain is not a wealthy country; it is dependent on Saudi Arabia on certain areas such as energy supply. On the other hand, Riyadh has been involved in a war against Yemen and it has taken all of the Saudi concentration.
As it was mentioned before, lifting the remaining sanctions on Iran is possible. And the system is ready to undertake new obligations in order to expand democracy in all over the world. The war has no voice!

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