Tuesday, September 30, 2014

The Issue of Merchants: Russia and Sanctions

In order to realize the process of the continuation of sanctions against Moscow, both Washington and Brussels require the vote of confidence from merchants and commercial companies. Therefore holding continuing meetings with them is necessary because the recent sanctions have affected short- and long-term interests of merchants and trading companies of the West.
It is obvious that each of their individual vote to continue the sanctions regime will be negative (which also includes business companies that have identified Russia as a potential business partner in their own business future) but undoubtedly, their collective vote will be positive to continue these conditions. In other words, if a large number of businessmen and heads of corporations be invited to a meeting, you can easily attract their trust and agreement to the continuation of sanctions against Moscow.
We will get more familiar with the business approach, through a question:
Why merchants or businesses companies financially support political candidates in elections?
The goal of the formation of such support from the merchants is to get the helm of "political economy" in favor of their economic interests.
In the assumed meeting, an invisible competition would be made to get a share of the helm of political economy between the invited merchants in the meeting and the loser of this competition will be the one who objects to the policies of the country. Thus, the mechanism of competition will automatically lead to the merchants' agreement with the continuation of sanctions against Russia.

Saturday, September 27, 2014

Who is feeding you? (Resignation of the Chief Justice of the U.S.)

The establishment of secure order in the society has been announced as a necessary foundation. The removal of the key levers of information and violence from the sites and power centers of the society in order to the establishment of all the power in a point and in a site is a mechanism which is necessary to achieve "secure order". 
Recently Eric Holder, the Chief Justice of the United States resigned under the pressure that he had gotten from the system; the pressure that caused by his access to large volumes of information and documents.
Certainly those who are appointed to the Department of Justice after him will have access to lots of information and documents as well as him and this certainly cannot be considered a threat by itself, but access to the documents is deemed to be threatening when that is determined that a supply channel feeds the person financially and politically.
Of course the mentioned feed channel is a channel that is not approved.
The receptor of the supply channels have things that the feeder is supposed to acquire them through establishing a feed channel.  
Therefore, the feeding of all political parties of the country must be done through the channels approved by the system. Certainly, through the control of supply channels in the future, all the country's power share (directly or indirectly) will represent the system.

Thursday, September 25, 2014

The Last "G" of the Cat

On the contrary to the expectations, the accident of Mosul has not been a good opening of a story for its writers. Where are those who wrote the game theory of "ISIS"; those who designed the project of the “heating of the geography” in the Middle East?!
Where are those who were so powerful until six months ago, that, world powers did not even dare to question them?!
Some are still alive. The cause of their survival is not their former power, but they have become so feeble that they have lost their real existence.
Yesterday, the American friends in territory of the U.S. and today the Great Britain attempts, to filtrate them. Surely tomorrow, the Germany that has been hesitant about the decision will join its two partners in order to filtrate and purge the mob shadow cabinet.
Cat's companies and even his restaurants (which also include restaurants that Cat did not have the official ownership) were a place to commit organized crimes. A significant number of employees of these companies and restaurants that were involved in these organized crimes and could certainly provide comprehensive information for the British agents specially about the involvement in "Mosul" project with the cooperation of the club (; the French club), were Cat's Polish employees.
Today, the largest and richest private intelligence agency of the West has been disintegrated and stopped and the signs that were used by its members to communicate with each other has been invalid, but attempts to purge personas non grata is continuing and will continue until the full deployment of the secure order.

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Iran, Sustainable Security and the World Order

The Islamic Republic of Iran as a government that is now proud of the United States' embassy takeover incident in Tehran, after a couple of decades of 1979 Revolution can not be considered as a reliable government in the international arena. United States' Embassy takeover and the hostage crisis in Iran was a clear violation of international law in order to realize the international objectives of the revolutionary government of Iran and thus celebrating the anniversary of this event in Iran means that Iranians continue to believe in the violation of the international law as a strategy in order to realize the national and international purposes.
However, one cannot deny the fact that the international community has been successful in its efforts to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. But this success alone would not rebuild the trust towards the Islamic Republic of Iran and this also does not make the label “potential threat” to be removed from Iran.
A part of the intelligence obtained about "ISIS" project was particularly based on data obtained from the sites located in Iran and it is obvious that the secret cooperation of some Iranian groups including some influential politicians in Tehran such as Hashemi Rafsanjani and Iranian Revolutionary Guards with some groups in the United States and Europe is worrying.
And what is certain is that not only the nuclear weapon is dangerous for the world, but microbial attacks are dangerous, too; the laboratory in one of the small European countries which produces viruses, is also threatening.

Monday, September 22, 2014

The Young Generation and the Rise of New Culture

The young generation certainly has not spent its childhood and adolescence in the 1970s-1980s. Although they have heard about that period from girls of the 80s who are now forty- or fifty year-old-mothers. The generation in which I spent my childhood and adolescence was definitely not a rebellious generation. Both the Bible and a Playboy magazine would never have been together on the desk. This generation does not dream of breaking social taboos because it has been released from taboos and therefore does not re-break taboos in order to achieve the right to choose. Since we have been free, we were able to choose and what we have chosen is to be "ordinariness”.
In order to have all what we want to have of the power, wealth and fame, we do not need to depend on the parameter of being "extraordinariness". Even the present dreams and hobbies of the youths in this generation are not the same of young girls and boys of the 80s.  
However, if there is a similarity between our generation and the past generations, it is that we're all fighting against the generations before us.  
We do not need the boring standards of the 80s to show our freedom. We live in freedom and what we want now is that the society's media center gives enough respect to this choice; to what we are.

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Entertainment Industry: The Secure Order

Joining a considerable number of celebrities to mob groups and abetting criminal activities such as women and children trafficking as well as drug trafficking has led to the advent of a strange and unacceptable element into the entertainment industry. According to the reports received, these activities are not committed by the industry members to earn money. For example: an Oscar nominated actor assisting the women and children trafficking has not certainly been due to the economic gain but the goal of access to the services of a mob group such as the violence lever; a lever that allows its holder to use it against his/her competitors.
Homicide (which is often remains hidden under the titles such as overdose, suicide, etc.), sexual assault, frequent threats (sometimes even lead to the suicide of the victim), the disclosure of personal life information, creating criminal (judicial) traps against the victims such as the availability to have sex with persons who have not attained the legal age are the ways through which not only the established order of the competition arena of the entertainment industry becomes disturbed but sometimes it would deter the industry from launching and commissioning projects as well.
There is no doubt that two or more governments are not acceptable in any territory at a same time. The entertainment industry would not be an exception from this reality so far. Two or more distinct power base which have access to the leverages of violence and information would not be accepted and would not be allowed.
In this regard, in the first phase, following and prosecuting those criminal activities of mob groups that pass through the entertainment industry channel will be to raise the risk of using the members of the industry (in these activities) and in the next phases, this process will be completed as a result of identifying dangerous elements of the industry and limiting them by coding all their activities.

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

ISIS: A Note

The dust of congress has rule but not after the books are closed. While many supporters of ISIS in the Middle East and Europe have stopped (actual) supporting this terrorist group, it was expected their partners in the U.S. to do the same. But unlike them, these Americans added to their supports of ISIS.
There is no doubt that ISIS is a defunct player but a few old men who are already excluded from the cadre of power, want to take revenge on Washington and London through ISIS.
What could the recent video of murdering a Scottish victim by the terrorist group of ISIS in a very close time to the independence referendum of Scotland mean? 
It is clear that the only implication that the video might have had for the Scottish people in the Britain, is that, the foreign policy of the UK in the fight against ISIS may lead to the death of the Scots. Therefore the independence of Scotland from the UK would be a better option.
Those who had been eliminated from the cadre of power were given a rating so far and it was the resist against the disclosure of the documents that could destroy the reputation they had earned over the decades. Therefore, continuing such a revengeful behavior will definitely cause the loss of the points that have not legally and morally been their rights. 
But if they insist on backing up ISIS despite all of these, so it's necessary for them to do a brief search about Ali's status; the 55 years old Iraqi man, who is still living in Iraq, very wealthy, dangerous and one of the most important agents of Saudi Arabia.
Today none of wealth, circle of friends or even his background could save him from the deadlock and terror.

Monday, September 15, 2014

The Issue of Islam: What Are Muslims Looking For?

Islam as a religion, thought or ideology, is not regarded in any way as an issue unless it is only the provider of the private life standards of Muslims. But the concerns begin when a minority of the population of the Muslims wants to use Islam as a pattern to regulate the objectives, standards and their public lifestyle. The cause of these concerns is that the groups which have attempted to provide a public lifestyle (social - political) model of Islam are usually considered as extremist groups.
ISIS, Hezbollah and the Taliban, are among the groups that have attempted to provide a social and political model of Islam.
It is clear that the models of the moderate Islam are presented in countries such as Turkey and Indonesia. But all the moderate models that have been presented for Islam are only limited to the private lives of individuals. Whereas a minority of Muslims (which the numbers are not low) are always are looking for a model of Islam to encompass the whole of their private and public lives. Certainly, if no one provides them a moderate version of Islam for the public lifestyle, they will consequently join groups such as Hezbollah, ISIS and etc.
An issue similar to this was during the Cold War, entitled as "the issue of Marxism". European and American Marxists had to search for Marxism in Soviet and China and thus the fate of their political orientation leads to any of these two countries, and thus the threat begins at this stage. Whereas if the West, like Lenin or Mao was attempting to formulate a theory for Marxism, probably a large part of European and American political interest was not growing towards China or the Soviet Union.
It should not be forgotten that most of the Marxist movements in the 1960s in Europe and mostly in France, were politically tending towards China. It certainly was not because they were preferring Maoism to Leninism, but rather was because even they themselves were searching for an ideological base except of Moscow.

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

ISIS: The report of the changes in the strategists' cadre

Following the identification of communication channels of ISIS and the failure of this group to realize the goals that they were appointed to, led ISIS to be known as a burned player. There is no doubt that the leader of ISIS is also aware of the end of its mission in Iraq. Because the two recent videos of murdering American journalists contain a secret threatening signal that is send to its own strategist. And all these mean that ISIS is ready to fight against its main strategists, who are now ISIS enemies, to survive.
Recent reports indicate that ISIS's separation from its strategist's team and also the interest of this militia group to join the Taliban.
Obviously, ISIS has largely lost its financial, informational and scientific power (including modern strategies and tactics of war) and joining the Taliban is considered as the predictability of the strategies of this terrorist group. So it can be argued that the possibility of restraining ISIS is available.
However, although we may not use the term "certainty", but it seems that the former friends of ISIS who have now become enemies of it have revealed their own cooperation in fight against ISIS. Therefore, as if they could present a game for ISIS and try to prevent them from joining the Taliban through providing false information, supplying poor strategies and even preparing (new) spurious targets for its leader, it can be predicted that ISIS has the potential to be eliminated completely.

Monday, September 8, 2014

Ukraine: The Crisis Diplomacy Performance

Political and military options that Russia chose in the 2008 Russo-Georgian War, provided the ability to predict the Russian choices in the Ukraine's crisis for the other parties.The two options of recognizing the result of the referendum in East Ukraine as well as the option of entering Russian forces to the territories occupied by the pro-Russian militants were available after recognizing the independence of Donetsk and Luhansk by Moscow. Both of these options were implemented on Georgia, and Russia has been able to skillfully separate Abkhazia and South Ossetia from Georgia. But now, as the leader of the militants in East Ukraine is not calling for the secession from the territory of Ukraine, it can be concluded that Moscow has entirely lost its chance to recognize the independence of Donetsk and Luhansk and therefore any entrance of Russian military to this area means the same as military aggression against Ukraine.
But what changed the result of the game in Ukraine has probably been the priority of the issue of Syria for Moscow. Since the Presidential elections in Syria was taking place in a close distance to the referendum in East Ukraine, the possibility of forming a deal with Russia over the Syria was create at that point of time.
The deal was simple: military branch of the opponents of Bashar al-Assad leave the city of Homs and in return Russia stops supporting the pro-Russians militants.
At first, the opponents of Bashar al-Assad left Homs and John Kerry rejected the leader of Bashar al-Assad's opponents request to send weapons to them, and then the Russian military forces withdrew from the Ukraine borders and Vladimir Putin urged the East Ukrainian separatists to delay the referendum.
But about the destiny of gambling on Syria, we must admit that the White House has been the hidden winner of the game. Lack of reaction by Damascus on the recent Israel-Gaza conflict and even the lack of Bashar al-Assad's verbal support for Gaza despite his former anti-Israel stances and despite supports of Iran and Hezbollah in the Syrian Civil War in favor of Bashar al-Assad indicate that new Syria is created.

Sunday, September 7, 2014

Ukraine's Issue: Ceasefire and Political Credibility of the West

Certainly, the number of people who were in favor of the truce in Ukraine were almost equal to the number of those who were in favor of continuing the conflicts in the country. European and American supporters of continuing the conflicts were often those who wanted to continue conflicts against the Russia through continuing the disaster in Ukraine. Probably a similar reason to this logic in Russia causes the continuous supports of Moscow for the pro-Russians in East Ukraine.
However, even if we want to look at this case in a pure mechanical way we notice that there are obstacles on using the Civil War as a way to fight against Russia. And the most important barrier is Kiev. Since the West is involved in Ukraine's issue, therefore we must admit that a part of the West's political credibility is now in the possession of the decisions by Kiev. Incorrect decisions by Kiev not only will lead the failure of Ukraine but also the elimination of a part of the West's political credibility.
Kiev has certainly the chance to achieve good advantages as the result of a secret deal with Moscow and finally will bring peace to the country by giving special privileges to Donetsk and Luhansk.
Who will lose in such a deal except the West?!
But the real threat is revealed when Kiev blackmails the West. In other words, by having such an opportunity, Ukraine can decide to persuade the West to gain some especial privileges.
So, as if the West is following to keep tensions with Russia like that of Moscow which is looking for something like this, it is necessary to give no major role to Kiev, in the conflict, in order to guarantee the preservation of the political credibility of the West.

Thursday, September 4, 2014

Russian Oligarchy VS Russian Oligarchy

In order to reach victory in the Ukraine's crisis, the West should prevent emotional decisions on the one hand and avoid giving political points to Russia that wants to take advantages through creating a false psychological warfare. Therefore, those allies of the United States who attend with a good faith in the disputation with Russia over the Ukraine's issue now need to strike the Achilles heel of Russia's leadership. It is clear that adopting the ineffective tactic against Moscow at this point of time is equal and equivalent to support the policies of the Kremlin.
Since the privatization in Russia that led to the emergence of the powerful class of oligarchy in the country, there has always been a conflict and competition between the members of this class. Competitions that sometimes led to the use of violence lever as well. The "Yukos" case is one of the best-known examples of these competitions. However, there are other cases that represent the conflict between the oligarchy depending to Vladimir Putin and the independent oligarchy from him (which sometimes includes the former friends of Vladimir Putin, too). 
Therefore, if Russia is turning to use the civil war as a weapon in Ukraine, the West can take up the option of a counter war against Moscow by creating a conflict within circle of the Russian oligarchy to in response to Kremlin's act. 
Regarding that today's Russian leadership is caught in the quagmire of Ukraine as Boris Yeltsin was caught before in Chechen War, and also a group of Putin's oligarchy affiliates consider some of their long-term interests at risk under Putin's team, it can be concluded that the potential to initiate a new dispute between the Russian oligarchs class is formed with each other because the conditions for the return of a group of Russian oligarchs to body of the Russian power is provided. Needless to say that through supporting and protecting a group of them, the West can pushes the Russian oligarchs into a new rival. Thus, Russia re-enters a conflict that had experienced earlier in the course of the first Russian President and finally: a Russia incapable of entering into the international issues.
We should not also neglect the fact that the political structure of Russia is not similar to the political structure of Western and also the European countries which area member of EU; an economic crisis could easily create a major political crisis in Russia. The “Ruble crisis” is a precise instance to prove this claim. 
There is no doubt that the West has been able to strike both Moscow's sphere of political influence in the international arena and attracting investor into Russia through reducing Russia's political and economic reputation. These strains in addition to the pressure from inside to the body of the Russian oligarchy can leave a devastating effect on Moscow's future.