Wednesday, December 19, 2018

Democrats: "Omnes pro Uno"

The last living long story was a short story! 
Political parties are not often built on ideologies; parties' ideologies are merely the reflection of their sources or paths of power. 
A typical political party does not fight for the realization of social, national or human rights ideals unless it brings about achievements of political power and financial interests. Such a party is a natural one of its kind so that its door is open for rational negotiation and dealing. But if persons who only care about their political and personal lives and are not interested in the future of the party take its leadership, the party would be derailed. The functions of such a party are just like a "jihadi" element because it would not be sensitive to its natural interests. The Democratic Party is now an example of it. It cannot be overlooked that Obama, Biden, and Clinton are responsible for that. 
The system needs a powerful left-wing party in the country, just as a right-wing one in order to adjust the balance of power and regulate the variables of social movements. Therefore, the party must be safeguarded from being sacrificed for the personal interests of its ringleaders.

Wednesday, December 5, 2018

Neo-Capital

The Neverland belongs to the nowhere people! 
Culture, law and even force are means to control society but none of them are as powerful as the power of needs. Marxists point to capital and therefore, they have suggested that taking over the whole wealth of a community is translated into controlling them. Thus, the "Revolutionary Marxism" would not be a smart idea for regulating the world order. But how about taking control of the capital flow or capitalists networks?! 
An alternative and secret global financial mechanism must be built by the system, which should be able to offer unique advantages to capital owners. And definitely, their financial exchange would be free from all local and international regulations but the system's code and outlook. In short, there will be no shadow under the system's shadow. 
Needless to say, such a financial system will not be an option to be offered but a necessity of global security, which will take place in one way or another. And there is no doubt that Moscow, Russian oligarchs, and mob groups are among the main threats to the world security and the very financial mechanism must be established in a way to stop major financial exchanges with them as a whole. 
It is the world that can be believed; the one that can be lived!

Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Iran, Mafia & Sanctions

And when these things begin to come to pass, then look up, and lift up your heads; for your redemption draweth nigh. (Luke 21:28)
The revival of severe sanctions on Tehran will certainly take down the Iranian government in mid or long term. But mob organizations like Iran’s Revolutionary Guard that make lots of money through drug and human trafficking might be survived or even be strengthened in the absence of a powerful government in the country. Also, cryptocurrency plays a significant role in this cycle.
In brief, the sanction will eventually change the balance of power within Iranian regime in favor of Iranian Revolutionary Guard. And it is the end of the game; final confrontation. The ultimate product of the process would be a weak, isolated and aggressive Tehran, like Havana and Caracas with a manageable chance of war.

Wednesday, November 7, 2018

Proxy Legacies

The terms of 'legacy' and 'history' are just the traps. These are variables that make one vulnerable against controller elements, like propaganda, vogue, ideologies, etc. 
The system is entering a new stage of its existence. The system should be and could be above the history and behind all human's significant legacies. And it is self-evident, as the power is increased, the security requirements are doubled. 
There is no doubt that the system that the personal security of agents will be highly valuable for the security of whole the system. An advanced partitioning or continuous change of partitioning might be effective and practical in this regard. However, 'proxy organizations' would be a natural answer to this level of security necessity. Proxy groups or organizations can carry out the system's missions and operations while they have no access to any valuable resources of the system. So losing them is not more than losing a bunch of money. But due to the different level of internal security and monitoring over agents, crossover must not take place, i.e. a proxy agent cannot become a system's agent and reverse, which shall also be applicable on former agents.

Wednesday, October 24, 2018

The Greenhouse Misery & the White House

The consequences of the climate change crisis for the democratic countries such as the United States are much more than others. Keep in mind, oppressive or corrupt regimes are not accountable to their nations. Therefore, when their people are surrounded by disasters, they would not enjoy the government support. But what about the United States?! 
It is self-evident that Washington cannot compare itself with Beijing in respect to climate change programs. In addition, according to the World Bank, forced immigration of millions of people would be a notable consequence of the climate change crisis. Nevertheless, this fact has been neglected that the mentioned issue is roughly a product of weak and failed states. It is clear that the West would be a potential victim of a new wave of the refugee crisis. Thus, the U.S. government must gain the leading role in the global arena over climate change to take appreciate measures to mitigate the greenhouse gas emissions. And of course, it is a necessity for national security.

Wednesday, October 10, 2018

2018 Election: "Hold the Door"

'Trust', is the most determining parameter that its absence forms the essence of politics. 
The behaviors of the White House and a group of Republicans represent the fact that checks and balances is the most convenient means to maintain pressure against Moscow. In addition, the Republican Party should begin the year 2019 without John McCain, Paul Ryan, and Nikki Haley, which means a new beginning for the Party. According to reports, new agenda or procedure of Republicans will be in favor of Kremlin rather than the requirements of national security. 
Thus, it is evident that the system should endeavor to revive checks and balances in order to eliminate the chance of harmful unilateralism. There is no doubt that multilateralism and cooperation with the system is always the best way to tackle the threats and achieve or secure legitimate interests.

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

Moscow: The Division Strategy

Russia is a real threat to the West including the US, European states and definitely Israel. Thus, Middle East issues or the current differences among the Western bloc should not distract them from the danger of Moscow. 
A divided Middle East or Europe is the objective of Kremlin. Russia's strategy could disturb the comfort zone of the West through the years. And meanwhile, it could play a critical role in almost every important negotiation table by taking a peaceful gesture including from Iran's nuclear issue to the Syrian and Ukraine crisis. Therefore, Russia has won a lot of points in this game; it has made the West believe that they really are dependent on Russia in the global leadership, which has improved Russia's political prestige. And let alone that Moscow geopolitically benefits from this procedure. 
It is more convenient to directly or secretly talk or negotiate with troubled parties rather than involving Russia to the negotiation table, just like the case of North Korea. This approach can gradually decrease the role of Moscow in the global management and the Western states can easily amplify the pressure against the Kremlin to stop the game.

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Rule of Law: An Interpretive Statement

Extraordinary situations need extraordinary behaviors. 
The rule of law is one the main achievement of any civilization. Therefore, any behavior that endanger legacy of the global civilization is unacceptable. 
The system has never broken the law. But in case of conflict between main priorities of the civilization such as principles, basic values and global security requirements, and secondary priority like local regulations, the system should make a hard decision in accordance with the principal of the “rule according to a higher law”. It is evident that choosing basic priorities over secondary ones is necessary, which was also implicitly permitted by the United States Declaration of Independence through the contents of the right of revolution. 
The system honors its friendships and partnerships. But as every must know, 'attack' is the desired respond to a threat. And betrayal as the "preventive defense" and/or the premature "countermeasures" against an imminent treason is defensible, at least before a group of contemporary jurists.

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

Iran: A Greenhouse Revolution

The Saudi government intends to launch a military assault on Iran. But since the idea of such an attack is not in compliance with international law and may destabilize the regional order, the system disagrees with it. Nevertheless, Riyadh and the other states may provide the situation for implementing the R2P. It is evident, both domestic and international considerations should be met for application of R2P. For instance, the EU's green light and support would be among notable international factors in this regard. 
A critical economic situation for many of the Middle East nations is not a sufficient motive force for starting a revolution. Gaza and the city of Sanaa in Yemen must be convincing examples in this respect; even the collapse of living standard in these areas could not make the people rebel against their corrupt political leaders. 
The harsh economic conditions might be the seeds of a revolution but there is faint chance to achieve such a natural revolution in Iran. But the current economic circumstances in the country facilitate the possibility of making an armed opposition group. And this crafted rebel group would play two functions: overthrowing the regime and activating the option of R2P for the other states against Tehran.

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Tehran: Army's Policy

A democratic and stable state forms the society and universities on the pillar of diversity while it makes the army on the basis of uniformity, but an unstable dictatorship acts the reverse. 
The army that is shaped upon money and force is a potential threat to the security. Whereas, money (for commanders) and force over soldiers are the foundation of armed forces of Iran. The forces would probably join people in case of mass uprising, and thus, a civil war begins. Keep in mind, today's Syria is the product of Free Syrian Army, the forces who left the Syrian Army. 
The system must offer new identity, safe residence and money for Iranian commanders who render sensitive and classified information. 
Current Iranian soldiers are tomorrow's potential insurgents. The system must provide a set of acceptable financial and non-financial benefits in order to encourage them to leave the army and join the militia, so that there is no need to non-native mercenaries.

Wednesday, August 1, 2018

Iran: Anomie Program

The system believes in no faith but good faith. 
Several conflicting elements are forming within Iran that warn a possible anomie just like Libya. Growing public dissatisfaction on the one hand, and on the other hand, as everyone must know, "chaos is a ladder" for Iran's Revolutionary Guards. 
Iran's civil war is now possible but it seems that the Revolutionary Guards is ready for that. Therefore, it is not a good time for a mass revolt. The system should disrupt their calculation and make sure that the circumstances are suitable for an uprising or even a civil war with a clear and promising future. In this regard: 
First, Syria's Assad removal must be back on the agenda again.
Second, Saudi Arabia should be encouraged to declare a conditional peace with Yemen's Houthi insurgents that entails provisions against Tehran such as cutting off all ties with Iran.
Third, economic and political expense of Iran in Iraq must be boosted. It is possible by turning the country into a serious competition field between Riyadh and Tehran. Surely, both Iraqis and Saudis would welcome this situation. 
Forth, the concerning ties of Saudi-Pakistan might be ended with an opportunity for Iran. Fortunately, the US enjoys of required means and advantages to fix this situation. And let alone that Pakistan army, intelligence (ISI) and Taliban forces can freely and independently take action, which might be handy. 
Fifth, the system and Washington must provide proper incentive packages for Iranian people. Given the inefficacy of Cuban version of this measure, the system should work with European capitals to form comprehensive packages over migration and other humanitarian requirements, which are essential for the West to gain the upper hand and take the lead. 
Sixth, a consortium consisting of the system, APIC, Israel, the US and EU should be formed over Tehran's future, instead of directing Iranian oppositions. The interests of all active and passive parties must be ensured as a priority.

Wednesday, July 4, 2018

Health and Security

32 44 54
Security is certainly the most important parameter of any organism. And the very security entails the individuals' health of its set. For most ordinary citizens, the free health care is OK. But would it be enough for soldiers and agents?! 
Given today's advanced weapons, the chance of traumatic injury for a typical soldier and agent is way higher than the rest of people. Therefore, providing the health insurance is not convincing, at least for the administration, since the vulnerability of the system and its members should be dramatically decreased to increase the defensive and offensive powers of the set. 
At the end, the system should specially invest on the treatment of illness and disabilities and launch a long-term plan for it.

Wednesday, June 27, 2018

Israel-Palestine: R2P

A domestic issue with international side effects is a global issue.
The current situation governing Israel-Palestine cannot be found merely domestic issues of these parties. The dispute of Israeli and Palestinian states itself has been the origin of a few wars and emergence of militia and terrorist groups in the region, which are threats against all. 
The continues violation of human rights and humanitarian law by third parties like Hamas and Hezbollah under the shade of the dispute is now identified a constant parameter in this regard. Therefore, the world community and the major Arab states have this right to take advantage of all means to settle peace by invoking the principle of Responsibility to Protect. It is evident, the principle would legitimate any essential decision on behalf of Palestinian nation by the world community if the Palestinian state fails to accomplish its part. 
At the end, the model of multilateral negotiation among Israel, West Bank and the GCC is recommended.

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

Iran: "What is to be done?"

Political and social instability in a country could be considered an advantage for those who are seeking for change. 
Public discontent and instability are like raw materials, which have no effects without a manipulation through a political factory. Keep in mind, the success of a colour revolution, or a coup like 2013 Egypt's General Sisi coup, both rely on the very two factors. 
Today, Tehran suffers from such a disease. But this situation cannot last as an opportunity for good. The wave of public discontent will eventually turned into the feeling of frustrated that would lead to social collapse and chaos; The situations of Cuba and Venezuela, for instance. 
Therefore, an accurate planning for launching a revolution or coup Iran can make the idea “regime change” possible.

Wednesday, May 30, 2018

Israel-Palestine: "Peace Against Enemies"

Although the Middle East has opened a widespread opportunities for the U.S. but the recent rapid developments in the arena of international relations and technology have raised the necessity for the Washington D.C. to gradually decrease its focus on the region and instead, strongly address the growing issues of Russia, China and new order in the east Asia. Therefore, the Palestine issue as the first and the most significant problem of the Middle East must be resolved. 
Definitely, settlement of the issue would be in favor of all sides including Israel and the major Arab states. Without a doubt, a permanent peace agreement between Tel Aviv and Ramallah could be also considered a geostrategic attack on Tehran. The predictable results of such a deal can put an end to the diplomatic isolation of Israel in the region and change the current balance of power against the Islamic Republic. 
According to historical experience, economic sanctions cannot singly realize a specific objective but also might provoke the rogue state to aggressive reactions. Thus, the Washington D.C. should target  geostrategic interests of Tehran in order to strengthen the functions of the recent sanctions.

Wednesday, May 16, 2018

Russian Mafia and the U.S.

The Russian mafia is a covert wing of the Russian intelligence but there is overt link between them. The mafia launches Russian agencies plots including money laundering, murder, kidnapping. According to the international law, Moscow is responsible for the mob's felonies. 
The Russian mafia may be considered a “mother mafia” based on its functions: It itself creates or sponsors other mob groups or gangs, which have been destroyed by the system through the times. And now, it is time to eliminate the US branch of the Russian mafia. 
It is convenient for the mafia to respect to the system’s rights and interests if they care about their European affairs. And also, the system is ready to expand the war against Moscow’s interests in the Latin America and Europe if it supports the mafia in the US.

Wednesday, May 2, 2018

Internal Security: Third Way

"…He will baptize you with the Holy Spirit and with fire." (Matthew 3:11) 
Without a doubt, the manner of the "mad king" in dealing with his enemies could be a fantasy of many, but the fear of its predictable consequences has made it into a role model for only "mad men". Therefore, eliminating the most dangerous enemies and frightening or threatening the other ones has been the only smart method in this regard. Nevertheless, it is evident that it cannot be called the "sheer security" because there are several kings outside; Russian intelligence and mob groups, for instance. And a threat will not be kept in quarantine for a long time. Accordingly, it should be eliminated. 
If a group or set has been identified as a threat, it must be fully eliminated including members and related persons to them. Since a rapid purge might bring about internal disorder and involve the system into an unnecessary war, the process of purge must take place through the time, which might take months and years depending to the case. 
And given the fact that the process of purge takes time, it should be backed and covered by "fear". There is golden formula for everything such a coffee. But the mentioned formula of every one might be different than the others; fear is not something typical; reputation, health, family are just some example that can be played by fear weapon. For now, the system's lab must work on pills or materials in order to disable specific the human body's organs or functions like eyesight, etc. 
The family members and friends of victims will be immune, if they are unaware about or against the criminal activities of them. Also, all the victims must be respected as they are human being, which is the right of everyone; moreover, the human rights have a sacred position in the system.

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

North Korea and Chinese Hegemony

There is no doubt that Pyongyang is dancing for Beijing; moreover, there is a significant difference between Moscow's perspective toward hegemony and the ones of Chinese government. Since there is conflict of interest between the Washington DC and Beijing in the Asia and Southeast Asia, finding the covert purpose of China in seeking peace over North Korean issue is in question. 
The main question that should be answered is: What will be the desired plan or order of China after the possible settlement of North Korean case? 
It seems that the new story or second phase will begin by economy. "Fear" or maybe "threat", are the key elements that keep the current order in the region. But after disappearing of the threat and lifting of sanctions on North Korea, the economic ties among states are the sole permanent parameter that will shape the new balance of power in the Asia. 
Penetrating the economic and cultural structures of North Korea would be more important than deactivation of its nuclear and military programs. Western corporations and South Korean entertainment market can play their parts in this regard.

Wednesday, April 4, 2018

Iran: The Control

There is no political "Big Bang" to define the existence of international order. 
The main objective of appearance of Iran's nuclear case and then the nuclear deal has been the key world of "control". It is evident that Iranian nuclear program has been always a pretext. Tehran is a good player that plays for a bad side, which makes it a de facto threat but it might also be considered a potential opportunity in long-term. 
A sudden and total withdrawal of the nuclear deal by the U.S. can drive everything in this regard out of control, which is against the primary goal and even the true will of the White House. It cannot be denied that the current nuclear deal could not fulfill the mentioned demand and purpose, but it can be used as the board of a game. 
Unlike a big explosion, an engineered explosion can guide the subject and take any side effects under the control. If the simple purpose are correcting and guiding the reactions of Tehran, the Washington should gradually withdraw the deal, whereas it supports the action by carrot and stick. In fact, partial withdrawal of the nuclear deal would performs as a game that should be implemented by the means of rewards and punishments in order to finally break the resistance of the counter side.

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Modern Arabia and Neo Middle East

Emergence of new elements in the Middle East can lead one to this notion that the result of the Syrian civil war will no more leave any significant effect on the balance of power in the region. 
If Saudis seek to buy some times and distract the public opinion from ongoing military failures in the abroad through reforms, it should be argued that the possible end of wars on Yemen and Syria, will not considered establishment of an steady security in the Middle East and the chance of starting a new conflict will not be removed. But if Riyadh intends to have an influence on the regional order by initiating the domestic reforms, it can be predicted that first, the objective of new Middle East will not be beyond the reach, and secondly, "militarism" will lose its position as the main succeeding factor in the region. 
Nevertheless, the actions of active actors in the Syria can transfer signals that should be closely monitored. The behavior of Turkey that does not respect to any specific order and display an unstable stance toward its neighbors should be properly addressed and responded.

Wednesday, March 7, 2018

Post-Globalization Economies

Dependency is a known weakness. 
Economic globalization is as harmful as addiction to oil, in particular for major powers. 
The global economic ties can vanish the leading position of the sates due to deep dependency on their economic and commercial relations with rivals. Keep in mind, the basic leverage of the U.S. in the Cold War era against the Soviet, which gave the upper hand to the Washington in this regard, was not the NATO, but absence of effective economic ties with Eastern Bloc. 
Both the U.S. and Europe need to establish an alternative to the current economic world order, in order to reduce their economic dependency on China, Russia and emerging powers including India and Brazil, to make them immune against these world political players. 
At the end, the political and economic position of the West is good enough to lead the world, but it cannot be fully achieved until they do not release themselves from economic bonds of globalization.

Wednesday, February 21, 2018

North Korea: A Different Threat

It is not hard to know yourself; staying at your own position is matter. 
China and Russia are two main actors of the world and whereas the term "new world order" was initiated by the U.S. but Washington DC is not the player that is going to take over the globalization. War on Afghanistan and Iraq were the best post-Cold War gift to Moscow in order to get a recovery. And now, the White House is surrounded by small and unnecessary issues including North Korea. 
Although paranoid politics is not a wise approach but finding the climate change and subsequently, the Paris Agreement as Chinese hoax and dismissing the very Pyongyang play, is not politics anymore. As the North Korea case is in the question, China is enabled to benefits from the Korean conflict. 
Neutralizing the North Korean card is the best move in favor of constant security and against Beijing. At this point of time, the White House should concentrate on the world order, globalization, the current major and emerging actors such as India and Brazil.

Wednesday, February 7, 2018

Climate Guideline

Searching for covert functions of things is an art of politics. Climate change is an "urgent threat" to humanity. And of course it has been considered a concern for all. So first of all, one should address the political and legal issues in respect with the Paris Agreement. 
Given the fact, that the most greenhouse gases are emitted by the United States and China, it can be claimed, the idea that promoted a global agreement such as Kyoto Protocol and Paris Agreement as a solution has been incompatible. Although, the climate change is a hazard for all around the world, but just like a possible nuclear war in the Cold War era, the problem can only be settled by the states that are roughly responsible in this regard. Apart from a possible mutual agreements between U.S. and China, the EU as an active player can close separate financial and commercial contracts with Washington DC and Beijing, which include some climate conditions and obligations. 
Moreover, confronting the climate change can produce its own life style for the youth who want to be activist, intellectual and different at the same time. Without a doubt, it contains anti-consumerism thought but reversely, it itself, strengthen the green tech markets and stuff like that. It might be useful later. Therefore, the system must make it into a brand.

Wednesday, January 24, 2018

Tehran and Thai Role Model

The recent Iranian widespread protest has revealed the weaknesses of the government. The body of Iran's army is going to be vanished from within; let alone the soldiers. It can also be learned from the mass demonstration that only a spark is enough to light all candles.
These materials can simplify the agenda toward Iran: investing on useful persons and eliminating genuine threats in the army. In fact, constant removal of the threats poses as a shield in this regard. It seems that 2014 Thai revolutionary coup can be a proper model for Iran.

Tuesday, January 9, 2018

Tehran: From Down to Fall

Peace is a result of consensus within the society; not law and guns. 
The uprising and protest of Iranians against the dictatorship will be continued since there is no sign of withdrawal among people and government. Surprisingly, the primary steps of protesters have deeply distracted the governmental officials. Learning such a level of political instability might be unexpected for many domestic and foreign observers. 
It is evident, the system should support the people by all means. And at this stage, they need to be ensured about a proper alternative to Islamic Republic. Therefore, the system should take a leading role in organizing and improving Iranian opposition.