Regional and geopolitical objectives of Tehran have way greater positions before the government than its economy. The Iranian economy is an internal player that does not play for domestic games. If one wants to know about the current economic performance of the Islamic Republic, the financial situation of the Hezbollah must be checked over, and not the Tehran stock market.
In a typical 'unbalanced defense' strategy, small players would increasingly rise and fall in order to protect national security. But ironically, the Iranian national security including economic and even political security is going to be sacrificed for saving that very little pawns. Syria, Hezbollah, and Hamas are in fact 'pawns' that act as 'queens' for Tehran. Therefore, the regime's existence is relying on them.
The national security strategy of the Islamic Republic is not merely unbalanced but it is a sick strategy just like the strategic vision of Mussolini in the World War II as it was evidently affected by his personal obsessions.
Syria and Hezbollah cannot be considered threatening actors of the region but they are definitely the morphine of Tehran.
Wednesday, March 27, 2019
Wednesday, March 13, 2019
Russia: Trojan Horse
All who experience a sunrise are doomed to admit a sunset unless those who depart the day for the light before that turns into darkness.
Kremlin's ambition for taking over the world leadership position is the essence of its politics and political patriarchy of Russian society. Russian people are typically not seeking for the true democracy but a 'father of the nation'. In such a situation, there is a faint chance that a progressive leader may arise and in contrast, all the pillars are directly or indirectly in the service of Moscow. Even the literature and arts become the 'Trojan Horse' and play a role alternative to Russian Intelligence.
Therefore, first, all of the Russian pillars and not merely its 'Intelligence Service' should be widely identified as a threat or potential threat. Secondly, parameters of the balance of power would not be solid in the current altering world order; the political, economic and social situations of states in the east of Europe need more concentration. Needless to say, updating NATO's functions, guideline and objectives are required.
Kremlin's ambition for taking over the world leadership position is the essence of its politics and political patriarchy of Russian society. Russian people are typically not seeking for the true democracy but a 'father of the nation'. In such a situation, there is a faint chance that a progressive leader may arise and in contrast, all the pillars are directly or indirectly in the service of Moscow. Even the literature and arts become the 'Trojan Horse' and play a role alternative to Russian Intelligence.
Therefore, first, all of the Russian pillars and not merely its 'Intelligence Service' should be widely identified as a threat or potential threat. Secondly, parameters of the balance of power would not be solid in the current altering world order; the political, economic and social situations of states in the east of Europe need more concentration. Needless to say, updating NATO's functions, guideline and objectives are required.
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