Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Iran, Mafia & Sanctions

And when these things begin to come to pass, then look up, and lift up your heads; for your redemption draweth nigh. (Luke 21:28)
The revival of severe sanctions on Tehran will certainly take down the Iranian government in mid or long term. But mob organizations like Iran’s Revolutionary Guard that make lots of money through drug and human trafficking might be survived or even be strengthened in the absence of a powerful government in the country. Also, cryptocurrency plays a significant role in this cycle.
In brief, the sanction will eventually change the balance of power within Iranian regime in favor of Iranian Revolutionary Guard. And it is the end of the game; final confrontation. The ultimate product of the process would be a weak, isolated and aggressive Tehran, like Havana and Caracas with a manageable chance of war.

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