Thursday, October 8, 2015

Middle East: Artificial Warfare

Some of the Western countries were not aware of Moscow's decision on attacks in Syria, but Tel Aviv was aware of the decision. Because Moscow and Tel Aviv had agreed that coordinate the Russia's military actions in Syria with Israel. Ironically, despite the fact that such a deal should be a secret based on its nature, but this one is not! 
The actual and potential goals of Russia's attacks in Syria are as follows: 
- Maintain the position of Russia in Iran through engaging Tehran in the new Kremlin's game in Syria (just like a casino's "poker shield") as well as remove Iranian role in the Syrian peace process to reduce the chances of Iran to improve the relations with the Western states. 
- Distract Tehran from the cessation of Al-Anbar liberation operation and buy some times for ISIS in order to rebuild itself in Iraq. 
- Damage the political credibility of the West. At this point of time, some cards are "kingmakers" including Tehran and London. 
- Expand the Moscow influence in the Middle East. (Russia even tried to invite China to its own coalition). 
And this fact should not be also omitted that Iran is a rival to Russia. Russia and Iran are not allies. Therefore, if Iran could improve its relations with the West and improve human rights in the domestic area (by reducing the rate of executions) then new opportunities would be gained. None of the Russia, Israel and the Arab states do not certainly want such a thing. 
The system proposed Tehran to wait at least for six months. If Russians attacks are continues and do not only include Syria, it can be claimed that Moscow is playing a good role in the Middle East.
In the end, political-security investments in Iraq must be increased by both Tehran and the system.

No comments:

Post a Comment