Adaptation or extinction, the basis of "Naturalpolitik".
Surely, there are many within the system, who are hopeful that the Democratic Party will take over the Congress in the upcoming year. Well, it is now easy to hide a political orientation under the term "checks and balances".
The system supports an advanced version of "separation of powers". Moreover, the people and Congress will apparently welcome the leftists' possible victory. It has been the whole story with a good ending.
But how many of Democrats are really bound to left-wing politics in order to be able to re-implement the checks and balances?!
Since many people are frustrated with Republicans, the chance of voting on emotion will be increased in the upcoming 2018 Congressional election.
The system must interfere in order to return balance to the game, which might make it harder for Democratic Party. It is more convenient to find it as a qualification test for Democrats, which should not be a big deal for real ones.
Showing posts with label Election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Election. Show all posts
Tuesday, December 26, 2017
Tuesday, September 27, 2016
Keep Calm and Debate
The best teacher is experience!
First, the winner of a debate is one who can convince audience and there are many techniques for reaching this goal.
Second, confuse audience by boring and academic lectures when you have no answer or ideal plan. A successful plan is the one that is based on a unique and comprehensive idea. Clinton's economy program has a goal and plan without an ingenious idea and innovative. Franklin Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan both had innovative programs for economy. If Clinton's economy plan was a paper or thesis, no researching and scientific journal and professor would accept it because it had no new and innovative solution for issues.
Third, a wise person refuses to answer to judgment and comments of his rival. New York Times would not be just or neutral judge for Republicans and so Clinton would not be a neutral judge toward Trump. Clinton's trick could entangle Trump and put him in a defensive position while he could easily clarify this fact that she is against him and has no good faith and then undermine validity of her judgments and information without any struggle!
Fourth, do not give the audience tens of facts in a limited time because no one can get them all but give them five facts and repeat them tens of times. Trump's facts on economy was too many!
Fifth, it is more convenient to provide a key sentence for every subject at the beginning of the speech, for instance, "peace is hard but war is easy" would be considered a key sentence for an anti-war lecture. Neither Clinton, nor Trump have used it.
Sixth, shorten your lecture. It is a technique and Clinton finally did it well after many lectures and books that were tiring for Democrats.
First, the winner of a debate is one who can convince audience and there are many techniques for reaching this goal.
Second, confuse audience by boring and academic lectures when you have no answer or ideal plan. A successful plan is the one that is based on a unique and comprehensive idea. Clinton's economy program has a goal and plan without an ingenious idea and innovative. Franklin Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan both had innovative programs for economy. If Clinton's economy plan was a paper or thesis, no researching and scientific journal and professor would accept it because it had no new and innovative solution for issues.
Third, a wise person refuses to answer to judgment and comments of his rival. New York Times would not be just or neutral judge for Republicans and so Clinton would not be a neutral judge toward Trump. Clinton's trick could entangle Trump and put him in a defensive position while he could easily clarify this fact that she is against him and has no good faith and then undermine validity of her judgments and information without any struggle!
Fourth, do not give the audience tens of facts in a limited time because no one can get them all but give them five facts and repeat them tens of times. Trump's facts on economy was too many!
Fifth, it is more convenient to provide a key sentence for every subject at the beginning of the speech, for instance, "peace is hard but war is easy" would be considered a key sentence for an anti-war lecture. Neither Clinton, nor Trump have used it.
Sixth, shorten your lecture. It is a technique and Clinton finally did it well after many lectures and books that were tiring for Democrats.
Saturday, August 20, 2016
Grand Strategy
The way to help people passes through power.
Reading this manuscript is recommended for those who are not aware of new doctrine of the system though it is not a firsthand topic.
Some question the system by raising the argument that the system approach toward 2016 US Presidential election is inconsistent with previous measures including on Iran and Russia.
In response to this argument, it should be noted that, first, the system has never supported Trump stances over Moscow and Tehran because they are all against influence of the system in the world.
Secondly, the basic goals of the system must not be sacrificed for its secondary objectives. The ultimate target of every war and peace by the system is realization of its basic goals. The secondary objectives such as curbing Kremlin threatening behaviors, resolving nuclear crisis of Iran and involvement in Syria have been designed based on grand strategy of the system to fulfill its basic goal.
According to grand strategy of the system that has been drafted in accordance with its new doctrine, the system must interfere in all important issues of countries. This is the new leading role for the system and certainly, engaging in a number of issues have no immediate interest for the system like the upcoming Presidential election of the U.S. but entering these areas is essential because the most significant risk for the system is not to be defeated but to be neglected. Since failures could not have grave impact to the system, the system must be everywhere at every time.
Indeed taking advantage of protesting card enable the system to pressure its rivals and it is one of the main reasons of huge investment of the system in Tehran, protesting movements and maybe a "yellow element" of Presidential contest!
Reading this manuscript is recommended for those who are not aware of new doctrine of the system though it is not a firsthand topic.
Some question the system by raising the argument that the system approach toward 2016 US Presidential election is inconsistent with previous measures including on Iran and Russia.
In response to this argument, it should be noted that, first, the system has never supported Trump stances over Moscow and Tehran because they are all against influence of the system in the world.
Secondly, the basic goals of the system must not be sacrificed for its secondary objectives. The ultimate target of every war and peace by the system is realization of its basic goals. The secondary objectives such as curbing Kremlin threatening behaviors, resolving nuclear crisis of Iran and involvement in Syria have been designed based on grand strategy of the system to fulfill its basic goal.
According to grand strategy of the system that has been drafted in accordance with its new doctrine, the system must interfere in all important issues of countries. This is the new leading role for the system and certainly, engaging in a number of issues have no immediate interest for the system like the upcoming Presidential election of the U.S. but entering these areas is essential because the most significant risk for the system is not to be defeated but to be neglected. Since failures could not have grave impact to the system, the system must be everywhere at every time.
Indeed taking advantage of protesting card enable the system to pressure its rivals and it is one of the main reasons of huge investment of the system in Tehran, protesting movements and maybe a "yellow element" of Presidential contest!
Saturday, August 13, 2016
The Largest Electoral Crime in the U.S.
Agents of the system have lived in war and revolution; In times that Kremlin’s was only a few steps away from taking over east Ukraine by conformation of a referendum, the system proved its leading role in the world of politics by initiatives. Shiraz must be beautiful city but be sure that Tehran was the only visit destination of the system's agents in Iran, when no one was ready to engage in nuclear crisis. And everybody knows the fact that ISIS is still fed by Riyadh and Ankara but all are sure the ISIS is dying out. Because the system is everywhere for people.
Mainstream media broadcast same materials or in other words, same lies and fake polls when they have similar position with each other. The results of Brexit and Greek referendum on debt have indicated that previous polls did not have 3 or 4 percent of error but they were all fake. And now, the behaviors of old media represent their reaction to growing campaign of protesting voters in the United States, who would vote to demonstrate their protest. Ivanka Trump, Donald's daughter must be informed by classified data of polls with evidence of Clinton campaign's conspiracy.
Sometimes one paradoxically wishes one dead Democrat officials belonged to the system because its response would be desirable. However, if they think they would win this race, they must be excited because they would be able to defeat the system!
In the end, security measure must be taken against Zika virus since incidence of the virus in Puerto Rico.
Also, the Greek parliament has no right to limit freedom in favor of governmental programs.
Mainstream media broadcast same materials or in other words, same lies and fake polls when they have similar position with each other. The results of Brexit and Greek referendum on debt have indicated that previous polls did not have 3 or 4 percent of error but they were all fake. And now, the behaviors of old media represent their reaction to growing campaign of protesting voters in the United States, who would vote to demonstrate their protest. Ivanka Trump, Donald's daughter must be informed by classified data of polls with evidence of Clinton campaign's conspiracy.
Sometimes one paradoxically wishes one dead Democrat officials belonged to the system because its response would be desirable. However, if they think they would win this race, they must be excited because they would be able to defeat the system!
In the end, security measure must be taken against Zika virus since incidence of the virus in Puerto Rico.
Also, the Greek parliament has no right to limit freedom in favor of governmental programs.
Monday, August 1, 2016
No Cards, No Points!
War and interventionist policy of the White House in Syria would play determining role in the upcoming US presidential election.
Each card has score some point and one's cards are finished, it means no points can be scored. Sanders' campaign lost its great acceleration after he did not reveal anything new following his unique stance toward Wall Street, foreign policy and social justice. The recent speech of both candidates of Democratic Party and Republican Party indicate that none of them has any new cards to play. However, some cards that can unlock voters' hearts are still untouched and Syrian civil war is among them. Public opinion in the West and especially in the U.S. demands an end to intervention in Syria. Keep in mind, the precious card of anti-war stance was one the main reasons of winning Obama in the 2008 Presidential election.
The cause of Trump's popularity is his anti-establishment positions. Therefore, if he distances himself from the Party's establishment icons and its politics, he will gain more points. It is obvious, not endorsing him by Bush family, Mitt Romney and… is a strategic success for Republican Party since the party have found the chance of attracting independent voters; something that the Party was deprived of it for a long time. While Republican voters are mostly traditional and thus it has made them loyal to the Republican Party even when they do not agree with its candidates or policies. So they vote for Trump under any circumstances. Moreover, 2014 American immigration crisis was a great opportunity for drug cartels and human traffickers since the refugees were only vulnerable children and women; no one wants it, no one wants criminals and victims whether in the U.S. or Mexico. Therefore, the security of borders is not a hate-love relationship and it should be clarified for people.
And apparently a different situation is going on in Democrats campaign. Democrat voters are liberal enough not to bound with an ideology, cult or party. So their disappointment from the party would dissuade them from participating in general elections or even persuade them to vote for a right-wing party. And the system must stop these people from voting for Democratic Party in the upcoming election. Of course, if all people of the world have had such a perspective, there would be no fascism, because this type of dictatorship could only form by unconditional loyalty of people to a leader or party just like Turkey.
Each card has score some point and one's cards are finished, it means no points can be scored. Sanders' campaign lost its great acceleration after he did not reveal anything new following his unique stance toward Wall Street, foreign policy and social justice. The recent speech of both candidates of Democratic Party and Republican Party indicate that none of them has any new cards to play. However, some cards that can unlock voters' hearts are still untouched and Syrian civil war is among them. Public opinion in the West and especially in the U.S. demands an end to intervention in Syria. Keep in mind, the precious card of anti-war stance was one the main reasons of winning Obama in the 2008 Presidential election.
The cause of Trump's popularity is his anti-establishment positions. Therefore, if he distances himself from the Party's establishment icons and its politics, he will gain more points. It is obvious, not endorsing him by Bush family, Mitt Romney and… is a strategic success for Republican Party since the party have found the chance of attracting independent voters; something that the Party was deprived of it for a long time. While Republican voters are mostly traditional and thus it has made them loyal to the Republican Party even when they do not agree with its candidates or policies. So they vote for Trump under any circumstances. Moreover, 2014 American immigration crisis was a great opportunity for drug cartels and human traffickers since the refugees were only vulnerable children and women; no one wants it, no one wants criminals and victims whether in the U.S. or Mexico. Therefore, the security of borders is not a hate-love relationship and it should be clarified for people.
And apparently a different situation is going on in Democrats campaign. Democrat voters are liberal enough not to bound with an ideology, cult or party. So their disappointment from the party would dissuade them from participating in general elections or even persuade them to vote for a right-wing party. And the system must stop these people from voting for Democratic Party in the upcoming election. Of course, if all people of the world have had such a perspective, there would be no fascism, because this type of dictatorship could only form by unconditional loyalty of people to a leader or party just like Turkey.
Saturday, July 16, 2016
4 Years Suspension
Human being is a dangerous creature thus he makes deadly decisions at once.
British did not vote through false fears that surrounded them by mainstream media and their leaders. Also many young people in the U.S. refuse to sell their votes to Hillary Clinton in order to stop Donald Trump. And one of the main decision making centers of the world, which is the system, supports the opinion of this people.
The consequences of Republicans leadership over the White House would be inhibited by negotiation and deals. Although Trump or other Republicans are not proper options for running the White House but the system endeavors by all means to hinder Hillary Clinton from reaching the White House, since endorsing Clinton at this stage could result in determining an erroneous path and approach for the Democratic Party and finally erode it.
Keep it in mind the Republican Party had been identified as a traditional and center-right wing before winning Bush Jr. at the Presidential election. Since then the party has turned to neoconservative and extremist wing. The party that once ended the Vietnam War and established diplomatic relations with Mao's China in the Cold War era, now carries the heritage that he left for the US right-wing.
It is not acceptable to let the Democratic Party be annihilated and for preserving the party safe, it is necessary to be patient and not confirm Hillary Clinton, who regarded as a neoconservative and warmonger among liberals; the one who is comparable to Tony Blair. Presumably, Trump would not be able to get the control of the White House for two terms in a row, so the system should let the right-wing to take this round of presidential election and surely Democrats will present a deserved candidate for the American left-wing in the next 4 years and defeat its rival party. While 4 years off would give a chance to the Democratic Party to reform its platform. Although the Democratic Party can hold the chance of winning by unlikely adding Sanders and Warren to the possible cabinet of Clinton. Hey Hillary, the system makes this competition harder for you and makes you older after that!
British did not vote through false fears that surrounded them by mainstream media and their leaders. Also many young people in the U.S. refuse to sell their votes to Hillary Clinton in order to stop Donald Trump. And one of the main decision making centers of the world, which is the system, supports the opinion of this people.
The consequences of Republicans leadership over the White House would be inhibited by negotiation and deals. Although Trump or other Republicans are not proper options for running the White House but the system endeavors by all means to hinder Hillary Clinton from reaching the White House, since endorsing Clinton at this stage could result in determining an erroneous path and approach for the Democratic Party and finally erode it.
Keep it in mind the Republican Party had been identified as a traditional and center-right wing before winning Bush Jr. at the Presidential election. Since then the party has turned to neoconservative and extremist wing. The party that once ended the Vietnam War and established diplomatic relations with Mao's China in the Cold War era, now carries the heritage that he left for the US right-wing.
It is not acceptable to let the Democratic Party be annihilated and for preserving the party safe, it is necessary to be patient and not confirm Hillary Clinton, who regarded as a neoconservative and warmonger among liberals; the one who is comparable to Tony Blair. Presumably, Trump would not be able to get the control of the White House for two terms in a row, so the system should let the right-wing to take this round of presidential election and surely Democrats will present a deserved candidate for the American left-wing in the next 4 years and defeat its rival party. While 4 years off would give a chance to the Democratic Party to reform its platform. Although the Democratic Party can hold the chance of winning by unlikely adding Sanders and Warren to the possible cabinet of Clinton. Hey Hillary, the system makes this competition harder for you and makes you older after that!
Sunday, December 28, 2014
An Introduction to Elections
Increasing public opinion knowledge has led to the evolution of democracy. In recent years the results of elections in the global setting indicates that the current parameters influencing election are different from old elements affecting this process. In this article, we tried to attend to the candidate's reputation, election atmosphere and media positions in the electoral arena. There is no doubt that the lack of recognition of these elements results in incorrect predictions of future elections results.
The position of candidate's reputation in elections
There are many examples that show that reputation doesn't play a decisive role in the world current elections. For instant, in the recent presidential election in Iran, an unknown politician was elected as President. While competitors of Hassan Rouhani, were of the best-known and most influential Iranian politician. Also we can note to the recent parliamentary election in Ukraine; Yulia Tymoshenko's party unlike most predictions failed to achieve success in the elections. Neither Orange Revolution and nor serving a prison terms brought her success. Finally, in the last presidential election in Romania; even the Romanian unacceptable economy situation did not cause people to elect socialists. All of these indicate that people are looking for people who can trust them. In other words, we can conclude that the behavior of people in the electoral arena is not traditional but it is realistic.
The position of atmosphere in elections
That feeling governing the psychological and spiritual atmosphere of the entire election called "election atmosphere". Elections atmosphere may be emotional or intellectual and may also be peaceful or violent. Events, media, opposition and even the traditions of a society have an important role in shaping the election atmosphere. The candidate or parties who coordinate its electoral discourse to election atmosphere have greater chances of winning than its competitors. In recent Congressional elections in the United States the right-wing tried to impose the two elements of emotions and aggression on the elections atmosphere. In elections, who can choice the elections atmosphere is like a soccer team that have choice between the field and ball. However, it does not matter who sets the atmosphere, but it is important who could handle it better than others. In recent elections, Congressional, the left-wing did not interact with the election's atmosphere and continuous efforts to rationally defend its peaceful positions. Election atmosphere represents the people's demands. The successful candidate is the one who can meet people request. It should be noted that people demand may be in conflict with their real needs. For example, peace is people real need. But, people based on emotionally, and national and etc. reasons may want war. However, choosing the peace or war option only is correct that be according to political interest. So, in the case of conflict between people demand and political interest, it is unreasonable that political interests be sacrificed. In such circumstances, alternatives could be used. For example, if people want peace with all of world, including Russia, promulgation of peace with Cuba can be a good alternative. And if people want a total and ground war in Iraq, a limited war can be partly overcome the people's demand.
The position of Media in elections
Media's role in the regulation of public opinion strongly reduced compared to the past. Analysts and intellectuals wrote a lot of books and articles about mind control by the media. But there is much evidence that shows the current media has no crucial role in the control of public opinion. For example, despite the fact that most of American media as well as American politicians said that democracy in the United States is the world's best model of democracy but very few people take part in the election of America. About two-thirds of eligible voters did not participate in Congress last election. The vote of two thirds of people was "silence".
Most of media and politicians were silence about social discrimination against blacks. But do this neglect led to people silence?!
As a result, people will believe what they feel, not what the media constantly repeat.
The position of candidate's reputation in elections
There are many examples that show that reputation doesn't play a decisive role in the world current elections. For instant, in the recent presidential election in Iran, an unknown politician was elected as President. While competitors of Hassan Rouhani, were of the best-known and most influential Iranian politician. Also we can note to the recent parliamentary election in Ukraine; Yulia Tymoshenko's party unlike most predictions failed to achieve success in the elections. Neither Orange Revolution and nor serving a prison terms brought her success. Finally, in the last presidential election in Romania; even the Romanian unacceptable economy situation did not cause people to elect socialists. All of these indicate that people are looking for people who can trust them. In other words, we can conclude that the behavior of people in the electoral arena is not traditional but it is realistic.
The position of atmosphere in elections
That feeling governing the psychological and spiritual atmosphere of the entire election called "election atmosphere". Elections atmosphere may be emotional or intellectual and may also be peaceful or violent. Events, media, opposition and even the traditions of a society have an important role in shaping the election atmosphere. The candidate or parties who coordinate its electoral discourse to election atmosphere have greater chances of winning than its competitors. In recent Congressional elections in the United States the right-wing tried to impose the two elements of emotions and aggression on the elections atmosphere. In elections, who can choice the elections atmosphere is like a soccer team that have choice between the field and ball. However, it does not matter who sets the atmosphere, but it is important who could handle it better than others. In recent elections, Congressional, the left-wing did not interact with the election's atmosphere and continuous efforts to rationally defend its peaceful positions. Election atmosphere represents the people's demands. The successful candidate is the one who can meet people request. It should be noted that people demand may be in conflict with their real needs. For example, peace is people real need. But, people based on emotionally, and national and etc. reasons may want war. However, choosing the peace or war option only is correct that be according to political interest. So, in the case of conflict between people demand and political interest, it is unreasonable that political interests be sacrificed. In such circumstances, alternatives could be used. For example, if people want peace with all of world, including Russia, promulgation of peace with Cuba can be a good alternative. And if people want a total and ground war in Iraq, a limited war can be partly overcome the people's demand.
The position of Media in elections
Media's role in the regulation of public opinion strongly reduced compared to the past. Analysts and intellectuals wrote a lot of books and articles about mind control by the media. But there is much evidence that shows the current media has no crucial role in the control of public opinion. For example, despite the fact that most of American media as well as American politicians said that democracy in the United States is the world's best model of democracy but very few people take part in the election of America. About two-thirds of eligible voters did not participate in Congress last election. The vote of two thirds of people was "silence".
Most of media and politicians were silence about social discrimination against blacks. But do this neglect led to people silence?!
As a result, people will believe what they feel, not what the media constantly repeat.
Monday, July 14, 2014
Afghanistan: Dreamy Instability
The preliminary result of the recent elections in Afghanistan was accompanied with the protest of one of the election candidates, Abdullah Abdullah, the former foreign minister of Afghanistan. Therefore, what makes the protests of this period important than the similar period in the past, is that Abdullah has threatened to take options which disturbs the peace and political stability in Afghanistan. But the truth is that neither Abdullah nor his supporters have the potential to do a rebellious behavior to disturb disciplines in order to take political control of the capital and this is an issue that Hamid Karzai, Afghanistan's president is well aware of it because no reaction has been merged to Abdullah's statement as the Afghan parliament has not done such a thing. Certainly this political behavior of Kabul is the sign of Kabul's politicians recognizing Abdullah's personality, as well as citizens of Afghanistan.
However, the international community is unaware of what is actually happening in Afghanistan, but the other side of reality in Afghanistan is the reduction in the United States' spheres of influence in the country so that Karzai has defended Moscow even in the case of the Ukraine's crisis and the annexation of Crimea to Russia. So Washington now has the chance to adopt a behavior that represents the management of "crisis prevention" on Afghanistan on one hand, led to the attraction of Kabul and repairing its spheres of influence in the country.
Bearing in mind that Karzai expressed his willingness to accept financial aid from Moscow and the Russia's recent economic protection from the country has certainly transmitted new signals to Washington.
However, the international community is unaware of what is actually happening in Afghanistan, but the other side of reality in Afghanistan is the reduction in the United States' spheres of influence in the country so that Karzai has defended Moscow even in the case of the Ukraine's crisis and the annexation of Crimea to Russia. So Washington now has the chance to adopt a behavior that represents the management of "crisis prevention" on Afghanistan on one hand, led to the attraction of Kabul and repairing its spheres of influence in the country.
Bearing in mind that Karzai expressed his willingness to accept financial aid from Moscow and the Russia's recent economic protection from the country has certainly transmitted new signals to Washington.
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