Henry Kissinger has believed that carrot and stick should be used at the same time to be effective.
As congress passed sanctions against Iran’s conservative individuals and organization, the system must facilitate political, economic and cultural investments in Iran in a tangible way, in order to simultaneously weaken the position of hardliners and strengthen the bargaining power of Rouhani against domestic conservatives over the subjects of human rights and regional issues. Although, John Kerry has sought to transfer a false message to Iran about the sanctions in order to back the stance of the Iranian right wing.
Also nowadays security is a strategic commodity. Thus, there is no blame on Iranian intelligence for letting terrorists to implement their plan in order to have the upper hand over the Rouhani administration, though the intelligence were informed. Simply, it is a common practice in the politics. However, since Tehran is a strategic position, the system will try to fill this security vacuum. In this regard, based on classified information, Tehran city council is next target of terrorists, which should not be considered a winner card for conservatives anymore!
Certainly the system intends to keep current role of Iran in the Middle East. Terrorism and Saudi Arabia are two major troubles of the region. The first one targets security and the second, is a threat to democratic movements and political independence of countries. Iran is the only power that efficiently confronts them.
Tuesday, June 20, 2017
Tuesday, June 6, 2017
The Big Time
Friends and allies should not be chosen from the victims.
First of all, the system will not take a new position on Qatar before stabilization of the situation, whether reconciliation or continuation of dispute among the GCC. Although, this hostility is a significant opportunity for the system.
There is no doubt that emergence of neo-left in the U.S., Europe and even Iran is an undeniable fact, which can be distinguished from the traditional left. Nowadays, traditional left plays in the ground of centrism, while neo-left is successor of traditional left’s former position. The approach of neo-left toward human rights can help it to improve in long-term. Thus, the newborn discourse of neo-left needs a powerful platform in order to achieve the political goals and does not have a similar fate like Greens.
Although the right to an adequate standard of living is a principle of basic human rights and elimination of poverty is essential but according to historical experiences, low-income classes cannot be considered a reliable support for the left-wing and socialists. In the fascism era, many of so-called "proletarians" left alone socialists to be sacrificed. Nothing has changed, in the U.S., the blue collars backed Trump for presidency and not a socialist candidate like Bernie Sanders. The middle class, was the main supporter of Sanders and if he considered human rights at his platform, he would certainly gain more success in the election.
Therefore, the issues of middle class and human rights must be on the agenda for the neo-left. In addition, be sure that supporting low-income class would not lead to capturing their votes. For obtaining low-income classes votes, one should only require someone to be able to contact them in a friendly by a non-political, non-academic and even non-revolutionary tone. Keep in mind, although low-income classes have the right to vote but it is not translated into their socialization and thus, they provide their own sub-culture against popular culture. And also, there is a grave difference between their needs and demands. Improving the economic level of their life must be their basic need but their main demand is to be practically recognized. The first step in the recognition is speaking with their specific literature while educated politicians has no tendency to it or find it as a sign of populism. But in fact, one should be a prophet at first to become a politician because it is a requirement to contact everybody just like their own social language, culture and even the level and capacity of knowledge. It is the true meaning of recognition of others including minorities, sub-cultures etc. Sometime a leader must take advantage of all his social and scientific position to be a nation's advocate and sometime he should forget all of them to achieve the same.
Thus, it is more convenient for the neo-left to focuses on economic and social concerns of middle class including jobs and human rights.
First of all, the system will not take a new position on Qatar before stabilization of the situation, whether reconciliation or continuation of dispute among the GCC. Although, this hostility is a significant opportunity for the system.
There is no doubt that emergence of neo-left in the U.S., Europe and even Iran is an undeniable fact, which can be distinguished from the traditional left. Nowadays, traditional left plays in the ground of centrism, while neo-left is successor of traditional left’s former position. The approach of neo-left toward human rights can help it to improve in long-term. Thus, the newborn discourse of neo-left needs a powerful platform in order to achieve the political goals and does not have a similar fate like Greens.
Although the right to an adequate standard of living is a principle of basic human rights and elimination of poverty is essential but according to historical experiences, low-income classes cannot be considered a reliable support for the left-wing and socialists. In the fascism era, many of so-called "proletarians" left alone socialists to be sacrificed. Nothing has changed, in the U.S., the blue collars backed Trump for presidency and not a socialist candidate like Bernie Sanders. The middle class, was the main supporter of Sanders and if he considered human rights at his platform, he would certainly gain more success in the election.
Therefore, the issues of middle class and human rights must be on the agenda for the neo-left. In addition, be sure that supporting low-income class would not lead to capturing their votes. For obtaining low-income classes votes, one should only require someone to be able to contact them in a friendly by a non-political, non-academic and even non-revolutionary tone. Keep in mind, although low-income classes have the right to vote but it is not translated into their socialization and thus, they provide their own sub-culture against popular culture. And also, there is a grave difference between their needs and demands. Improving the economic level of their life must be their basic need but their main demand is to be practically recognized. The first step in the recognition is speaking with their specific literature while educated politicians has no tendency to it or find it as a sign of populism. But in fact, one should be a prophet at first to become a politician because it is a requirement to contact everybody just like their own social language, culture and even the level and capacity of knowledge. It is the true meaning of recognition of others including minorities, sub-cultures etc. Sometime a leader must take advantage of all his social and scientific position to be a nation's advocate and sometime he should forget all of them to achieve the same.
Thus, it is more convenient for the neo-left to focuses on economic and social concerns of middle class including jobs and human rights.
Tuesday, May 23, 2017
After the Pause: Iran
The intellectuals who have sacrificed their freedom for defending freedom, have opened the path to victory.
But first of all, the Manchester attack was an act against the whole world. From Yemen to Britain, the main source of this kind of violence and terrorism has been Saudi Arabia, and now public opinions in the West are not unfamiliar with this fact.
As it was predicted, conservatives entered the Iranian electoral arena by resorting to populist tactics. And Rouhani's victory that owes to freedom movement and his promises over restoration of basic human rights in the constitution, has proved the accuracy of the system's analysis and formulas on Iran.
But what is important, the greatest goals of human being. And it is expected, Rouhani's new administration take high steps toward them.
All leaders who could dominate human rights' values in the society or bring it down to fascism, took advantage of the mass movements and breaking or bypassing the law. And there is no difference between good and evil, Martin Luther King and Mussolini in this regard. Therefore, using the mass movement and organized circumvention of the law as leverages must be put into force, in order to revive the human rights in Iran.
But first of all, the Manchester attack was an act against the whole world. From Yemen to Britain, the main source of this kind of violence and terrorism has been Saudi Arabia, and now public opinions in the West are not unfamiliar with this fact.
As it was predicted, conservatives entered the Iranian electoral arena by resorting to populist tactics. And Rouhani's victory that owes to freedom movement and his promises over restoration of basic human rights in the constitution, has proved the accuracy of the system's analysis and formulas on Iran.
But what is important, the greatest goals of human being. And it is expected, Rouhani's new administration take high steps toward them.
All leaders who could dominate human rights' values in the society or bring it down to fascism, took advantage of the mass movements and breaking or bypassing the law. And there is no difference between good and evil, Martin Luther King and Mussolini in this regard. Therefore, using the mass movement and organized circumvention of the law as leverages must be put into force, in order to revive the human rights in Iran.
Tuesday, May 2, 2017
A White and Green Fantasy
According to UN and WHO, depression is a growing issue in the modern world. And it conveys two different messages. First, the weak situation of mental health among people, which can increase the number of possible victims in criminal cases. Second, Failure of constructive dreams, guidelines and ideologies.
Certainly, the system has fought for a free world, a world free from slavery of the media domination and any other kinds of fascism. But a merely free world cannot be an ultimate goal since people should not loss values, that can help them move forward and immunize the countries from uncontrolled crimes.
From Nazi Germany to Communism and to American life style in 20th century what could lead people to a common dream and solidarity was a fantasy. Fantasy is a covert entertaining part of a dream. Many people, who find themselves as revolutionary, are not among them but the covert entertaining part of a revolution might attract them.
It is convenient to create dreams and ideologies for people in order to guide them but it is not easy to sell the dreams and to enrich it by entertaining items. The main stream media have lost its entertaining part decades ago. Therefore, they have chosen a totalitarian way to sell their dreams. It was a kind of pressure against dissatisfied audience by showing themselves as logical with support of majority.
The system must guide people to move forward by providing valuable dreams and ideologies, which is enriched with new entertaining part. A new life style, technology or anything new and interesting that can attract people and stimulate their senses of curiosity and the excitement.
Certainly, the system has fought for a free world, a world free from slavery of the media domination and any other kinds of fascism. But a merely free world cannot be an ultimate goal since people should not loss values, that can help them move forward and immunize the countries from uncontrolled crimes.
From Nazi Germany to Communism and to American life style in 20th century what could lead people to a common dream and solidarity was a fantasy. Fantasy is a covert entertaining part of a dream. Many people, who find themselves as revolutionary, are not among them but the covert entertaining part of a revolution might attract them.
It is convenient to create dreams and ideologies for people in order to guide them but it is not easy to sell the dreams and to enrich it by entertaining items. The main stream media have lost its entertaining part decades ago. Therefore, they have chosen a totalitarian way to sell their dreams. It was a kind of pressure against dissatisfied audience by showing themselves as logical with support of majority.
The system must guide people to move forward by providing valuable dreams and ideologies, which is enriched with new entertaining part. A new life style, technology or anything new and interesting that can attract people and stimulate their senses of curiosity and the excitement.
Tuesday, April 18, 2017
Syrian War: Water
War is a reality that one should learn and handle it. But lies, arrogance and etc. are not acceptable. Military strategies cannot determine the winner of the Syrian war but only will buy some time for both sides. The Syrian war would certainly have a winner but not through military conflict. Only those politicians who seek power without considering the science of politic and the strategist professors who want to hide their lack of knowledge in order to keep safe their position, support war.
Without a doubt, defeating Kremlin's hegemony is an ultimate goal for the system. And definitely, an armistice in the Syrian war will not translate into ending hostility but it can open new options for victory in Syria.
So, the strategy of the system over Syria is based on putting an end to the war by all means. This war was begun by money and it will end by it too. The system must purchase this conflict from the players, not the leaders.
At the end, traitors will be treated by death language.
Without a doubt, defeating Kremlin's hegemony is an ultimate goal for the system. And definitely, an armistice in the Syrian war will not translate into ending hostility but it can open new options for victory in Syria.
So, the strategy of the system over Syria is based on putting an end to the war by all means. This war was begun by money and it will end by it too. The system must purchase this conflict from the players, not the leaders.
At the end, traitors will be treated by death language.
Tuesday, April 4, 2017
Constitutional Revolution: Iran
If Italian workers were not humiliated in France, Italy would never fall into fascism.
Iran is in a complex situation. On one hand, reforming the political apparatus of the country is necessary and on the other hand, frustration of Iranians toward Rouhani administration to restore their favorable dignity, have promoted them to back a possible populist conservative candidate, in order to respond to humiliations.
No doubt, the rise of fascism is because of contempt of a nation. Fascism in Italy, Germany and current Turkey were caused from this very problem. Needless to say, Turkish born citizens of Europe have been considered second citizen for decades since they do not want to or cannot involve in the society; therefore, their supporting for Erdogan leadership, who is not able to improve the economy and security of the country but tries to restore the lost Turkish pride, is understandable .
The Iranian regime would be desirable for the global community, if the constitution is implemented. Moreover, Iran would be immune from falling into an unknown situation such as fascism. Thus, a constitutional revolution or movement can guide the country to an acceptable path plus meeting the need of people for releasing energy resulting from dissatisfaction. It is evident that the Iranian right-wing have tried to suggest people something like revolution through raising the flag of counterculture in order to dominate their favorite law and order by using mass protest.
Iran is in a complex situation. On one hand, reforming the political apparatus of the country is necessary and on the other hand, frustration of Iranians toward Rouhani administration to restore their favorable dignity, have promoted them to back a possible populist conservative candidate, in order to respond to humiliations.
No doubt, the rise of fascism is because of contempt of a nation. Fascism in Italy, Germany and current Turkey were caused from this very problem. Needless to say, Turkish born citizens of Europe have been considered second citizen for decades since they do not want to or cannot involve in the society; therefore, their supporting for Erdogan leadership, who is not able to improve the economy and security of the country but tries to restore the lost Turkish pride, is understandable .
The Iranian regime would be desirable for the global community, if the constitution is implemented. Moreover, Iran would be immune from falling into an unknown situation such as fascism. Thus, a constitutional revolution or movement can guide the country to an acceptable path plus meeting the need of people for releasing energy resulting from dissatisfaction. It is evident that the Iranian right-wing have tried to suggest people something like revolution through raising the flag of counterculture in order to dominate their favorite law and order by using mass protest.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Tehran: All the Dictator's Men
Struggle for changing a game is harder than winning the game.
Starting a revolution, victory in a war and long tolerance over a resistance would be possible as long as it follows the rules of the game. But sometimes put an end to a old game is impossible. Without a doubt, the West could terminate Assad in first days of Syrian civil war, which might lead to a soft revolution in Iran. Through the last years, Israel has frequently attacked Gaza that caused heavy damages for the people in Gaza but surprisingly Hamas leaders have never taken any wound. While, eliminating Hamas could be considered a key for fundamental changes in Iran.
The system has never objected an overthrow of dictatorships, but wars or sanctions that do not aim to erase them are not legitimate. Efforts of the system with regard to wars on Syria, Gaza, Yemen and Iran's nuclear diplomacy were guided accordingly.
What the system and global community needs is the rule of human rights in the world. Definitely, the current situation of Tehran is not in accordance with global demands. Therefore, the players, whom desire to protect the current situation, i.e. American and British corporations have to withdraw. The channel of negotiation and dealing is open and an opportunity for making decision is given to them. By the way, the system must remove obstacles, with or without any deals.
Starting a revolution, victory in a war and long tolerance over a resistance would be possible as long as it follows the rules of the game. But sometimes put an end to a old game is impossible. Without a doubt, the West could terminate Assad in first days of Syrian civil war, which might lead to a soft revolution in Iran. Through the last years, Israel has frequently attacked Gaza that caused heavy damages for the people in Gaza but surprisingly Hamas leaders have never taken any wound. While, eliminating Hamas could be considered a key for fundamental changes in Iran.
The system has never objected an overthrow of dictatorships, but wars or sanctions that do not aim to erase them are not legitimate. Efforts of the system with regard to wars on Syria, Gaza, Yemen and Iran's nuclear diplomacy were guided accordingly.
What the system and global community needs is the rule of human rights in the world. Definitely, the current situation of Tehran is not in accordance with global demands. Therefore, the players, whom desire to protect the current situation, i.e. American and British corporations have to withdraw. The channel of negotiation and dealing is open and an opportunity for making decision is given to them. By the way, the system must remove obstacles, with or without any deals.
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