Thursday, September 4, 2014

Russian Oligarchy VS Russian Oligarchy

In order to reach victory in the Ukraine's crisis, the West should prevent emotional decisions on the one hand and avoid giving political points to Russia that wants to take advantages through creating a false psychological warfare. Therefore, those allies of the United States who attend with a good faith in the disputation with Russia over the Ukraine's issue now need to strike the Achilles heel of Russia's leadership. It is clear that adopting the ineffective tactic against Moscow at this point of time is equal and equivalent to support the policies of the Kremlin.
Since the privatization in Russia that led to the emergence of the powerful class of oligarchy in the country, there has always been a conflict and competition between the members of this class. Competitions that sometimes led to the use of violence lever as well. The "Yukos" case is one of the best-known examples of these competitions. However, there are other cases that represent the conflict between the oligarchy depending to Vladimir Putin and the independent oligarchy from him (which sometimes includes the former friends of Vladimir Putin, too). 
Therefore, if Russia is turning to use the civil war as a weapon in Ukraine, the West can take up the option of a counter war against Moscow by creating a conflict within circle of the Russian oligarchy to in response to Kremlin's act. 
Regarding that today's Russian leadership is caught in the quagmire of Ukraine as Boris Yeltsin was caught before in Chechen War, and also a group of Putin's oligarchy affiliates consider some of their long-term interests at risk under Putin's team, it can be concluded that the potential to initiate a new dispute between the Russian oligarchs class is formed with each other because the conditions for the return of a group of Russian oligarchs to body of the Russian power is provided. Needless to say that through supporting and protecting a group of them, the West can pushes the Russian oligarchs into a new rival. Thus, Russia re-enters a conflict that had experienced earlier in the course of the first Russian President and finally: a Russia incapable of entering into the international issues.
We should not also neglect the fact that the political structure of Russia is not similar to the political structure of Western and also the European countries which area member of EU; an economic crisis could easily create a major political crisis in Russia. The “Ruble crisis” is a precise instance to prove this claim. 
There is no doubt that the West has been able to strike both Moscow's sphere of political influence in the international arena and attracting investor into Russia through reducing Russia's political and economic reputation. These strains in addition to the pressure from inside to the body of the Russian oligarchy can leave a devastating effect on Moscow's future.

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