Friday, April 4, 2014

Russia and the coup in the Middle East

Washington implemented suspension option of some sanctions against Iranian students (studying at universities in the United States) and universities in Iran as carrot policy toward Iran. An option to jeopardize Russian interests in Iran with the aim of deterring Russia's expansionism policies adopted and implemented in the foreign arena. However, while the White House was disappointed of other options selected this option. Washington even performed ping-pong diplomacy policy simulation that ran by Michelle Obama but didn't succeed. 
Although this option has been selected late, the results were successful. At this time Iran hasn't any reaction to the Crimea and Russia. Kremlin supports Iran's nuclear program and it's clear that it made a pressure on Tehran by its supports. So, Russia expected Iran to recognize Crimea's joining to Russia like Belarus and Afghanistan. But Iran still has refused such favoritism. From the other side, since Crimea was an autonomous republic, so independence is inherent right of this government. Surely if Mr.Obama has forgotten the lessons of law school, Mrs. Michelle Obama is certainly nice to know that this independence is penetrating and joining to another government is agree with international law, as the separation of Texas from Mexico and joining to the United States which considered to be correct. However this time Iran supported the position of the international community rather than Russia. 
But if US government didn't lay Iran's card on the table, Russia possibly had decided to bet on Middle East with Iranian card. 
Russia could increase its support of Iran to allow Iranian political radicalism to be released. Like the action that Washington did about Jakarta and Suharto. The release of political radicalism in Iran at the first step threatens the established order in the Middle East. So the Arab countries will be force to seek new powers to protect and ensure the safety of their own. Then the Russia would gain the opportunity to replace the United States in the Middle East order.
The old theory of virus and anti virus. You surely know that some manufacturers of anti virus are those that created the viruses and they're the creator of the virus themselves. So the anti virus vendor is the creator of the virus.
Russia now is trying to broaden and deepen its ties with the Arab League but Arab League at this time doesn't necessarily need broad relations with Russia.

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