Sunday, May 18, 2014

New Syria and the Desired Middle East

In the upcoming elections in Syria, Bashar Assad would not most likely win the election. The civil war and the long undemocratic governance of him and his father are singly enough to defeat him in democracy. Although every democracy has the potential to bring peace, but peace and democracy in Syria are not only desirable goals. Criterion that distinguishes Syria from other nations in the Middle East is its strategic position. Thus Syria has the potential to change the order of the Middle East and turn it into the desired order.
Democracy in Syria is not singly able to change the order of Middle East, as the democracy in Tunisia and Egypt didn't cause a change in the balance of power in the Middle East. What is needed is obtaining assurance and guarantee.
The six most affective elements in Middle East: include Russia, Arabic powers, Turkey, Iran, Syria and Israel.
Russian goal is to change the order of the Middle East in favor of Moscow. Arabic powers have become aware of the competition between Moscow and Washington in the Middle East, and they all willing to earn points in this competition. Turkey is becoming more independent every day. The power of Turkey gives Ankara the chance of communication with both Moscow and Washington. Something that neither Moscow nor Washington prefer. Iran needs power that will support it and so far Russia has been a strong support for Tehran. Israel is the representative of the new order in the Middle East region. So Russia is supplying the Russian globalization. Arabic powers are playing the role of seller. Turkey has withdrawn from the competition and Iran is now on the Russian front. Due to the process of political change in India, it could be predicted that the country will certainly play an active role in the Middle East order.
Considering the strategic position of Syria, the presence of Damascus Washington front could change the order of the Middle East. This could alter the balance of power in the Middle East in favor of Washington and may play a stimulating role for countries such as Turkey and Iran for political change, because the natural instinct of governments will lead them to the power. So if the balance is directed toward Washington, the states that have an independent or unstable political stance would spontaneously move toward the new order in the Middle East. Undoubtedly, the Syrian economy has been weakened after suffering a civil war and would have had to change their political positions towards the political interests of power which support its economy, such as Afghanistan and Greece. But taking the political control in the Syria will not change anything in Middle East. It's important to change the order of Middle East not merely political positions of Damascus so this would happen through the control of order in this region. Therefore it's necessary to establish the idea of amassing wealth in Syria.
In the Middle East, the sample of a massing wealth idea is the United Arabic Emirates which is filled with wealth symbols. Such a Syria can attract affluent populations and eventually become the pattern of new model (or new order) in the Middle East. The important thing is that Syria should not be turned into one of the Arabic countries such as Saudi Arabia, which only plays the role of the dealer or broker. This means that the order in Arabic countries should not be governed on the Syria; in addition as much as the role of Arabic and Russian investors is less, the tendency of Syria to these countries will be less in future.

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