Sunday, May 4, 2014

Russia: East Of Ukraine, Syria's New Playground

Is the critical stage of the protesters movement in East Ukraine over?
Yes. Many of the movements when are weak they're converted into violence. In fact the extremist minority of each movement after the decrease in protestors are forced to use violence to keep the excitement and dynamism, and through this keep the movement alive. The recent hostage crisis in East Russia represents the same kind of violence. But Russia's support of the protesters' causes this movement to continue artificial life due to external support.

Why Russia, despite losing much interest and most importantly the abortion of their plans through Ukraine, insists on supporting East of Ukraine?
East of Ukraine is the hostage of Russia for the final game in Syria. Russia that finds Syria’s game to be lost, tries to get a winner card in the power competition in Syria, through this. In such a condition the White House could release the Ukrainian hostage by giving Syria’s concession to Russia. But this is a wrong choice. Washington can give the points of the repeated game to Russia, in case of Syria. This means, despite that Russia will have no share nor will the competition end, the present competition in which Russia considers itself as the loser will stop. The new Game theory in Syria can immediately be implemented after the current game ends or even before it.The new theory is simple, very simple. Requesting Arab friends like Saudi Arabia to establish a secret communication channel with the men who already are in authority in Syria. The goal of this communication channel is clear; to convince them to secretly remove Bashar Assad; Soft revolution (Happy Democracy in Syria!)  
Notes: The new phase of supporting Afghanistan can make a soldier out of Afghanistan in a psychological war against Russia.
Change psychological warfare. Convert psychological warfare from threats policy to humiliation policy.
If the government of Ukraine negotiates with opponents, it will lead them to be recognized and it's probably an achievement for the opponents that may bring peace back to Ukraine, but may in the future (next few years) become a motivation for the re-release of potential dissatisfactions.

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