Thursday, June 26, 2014

Syria: Changes

Assad opponents failed to occupy Damascus in months or during the first or second year of civil war, thus, it was predicted that continuing the war and the Sierra Maestra pattern would not lead the victory of the militants faction opposing Bashar al-Asad whose power has decreased over the first months and years of the war. Also, there is a principle that a controlled war can be the guarantee for an instable government and this is what we witnessed in Syria.
Thus, efforts to establish peace in Syria seem reasonable for those who really want changes in Syria. Although peace was half goal which was realized, the whole goal would be realized when the power does change in Syria. Therefore, transference of authority does not necessarily mean as the abdication of Bashar al-Asad from the Presidency. Syria is already under the pressure of international sanctions, economic infrastructures of the country have been damaged, its most important supporter, Russia, is involved in Ukraine's issue and rescuing its lost political credibility and the Syrian opposition has been recognized whereas the Arabic countries in the region are demanding a change in authority in Syria. Thus all Arabic countries' investments will transfer from the militants opposing Bashar al-Assad to the recognized opposition of the Syria. Certainly, when the peace is the order of the day, Bashar al-Assad's government can only compete with the opposition when it can overcome political and economical issues. The irony is that governments recognize oppositions when they have stable political power and when their power reduces, they attempt to suppress opposition, and therefore Bashar al-Assad was forced to behave to act against this political nature.
The only matter that this opposition must not forget is that in the present circumstances, it is not expedient to follow the Venezuelan opposition. Venezuelan opposition in spite of having high power and considerable influence on public opinion, was inflexible and did not want to gradually increase its dominance with achieving political and economic privileges in the structure of power in Venezuela, but wanted coup, revolution from above, and a sudden confiscation of all power that has not been very successful (even a successful coup that had in 2002 was not viable.)

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