Wednesday, June 4, 2014

Syria: The Covered War for Authority

Syrian democratic election was corrupted by mass speared fraud that stemmed from monopolization. Cheating mechanism was such that a wide number of voting papers were collected in the ballot boxes without being filled by people with known identities. It is obvious that the fraud votes were in favor of the president Bashar al-Assad. But the tricky point is that these frauds exist in populated cities like Damascus, firstly because it provides the crowd and the possibility of fraud and secondly because there is the illusion (unrealistic imagination) that the people of this city are the supporters of the president Bashar al-Assad. Despite such an idea, if the people of Damascus would vote Bashar al-Assad, no outside observer would be surprised; therefore if a widespread fraud happens in the city no one would suspect any fraud.
But this is not the whole story. Bashar al-Assad owes a part of his courage to do such a massive fraud to the assurance that some groups in the United States have given him. There is no doubt that Bashar al-Assad in exchange for guaranteeing the survival of the government has given some concessions to these groups. (So, the real beneficiaries will be no one but the groups receiving these concessions.) 
Syrian authorities close to Bashar al-Assad, who had been previously negotiated through secret channels and have reached an agreement, are necessitated to describe all the details of the fraud at the election to Bashar al-Assad. Undoubtedly, their political and social power is such that if they attempt to notify the general message of "fraud in elections", not only the country faces a civil war, but Assad's government will lose the necessary conditions for maintaining external support.
This power gives them the chance to give two options to Assad: A civil war to an unknown end or abdication without losing immunity.

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